{"id":17362,"date":"2024-09-04T13:28:30","date_gmt":"2024-09-04T11:28:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/?p=17362"},"modified":"2025-04-01T09:31:24","modified_gmt":"2025-04-01T07:31:24","slug":"saisonale-schwache-september-aktienmarkt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/saisonale-schwache-september-aktienmarkt\/","title":{"rendered":"Der schw\u00e4chste Monat hat begonnen!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2024-09-04T13:28:30+02:00\">4. September 2024<\/time><\/div>\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/september-stock-market-weakness-seasonal-analysis\">Article in English<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lieber Investor,<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Die Aktienm\u00e4rkte hatten Anfang August einen Einbruch erlitten. In der Tat ist der August auch saisonal ein schwacher Monat \u2013 ab 1970 der zweitschw\u00e4chste im Jahreszyklus.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Doch es gibt einen noch schw\u00e4cheren Monat: der September.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Droht jetzt bald weiteres Ungemach?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sehen wir uns den September unter saisonalen Gesichtspunkten genauer an.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-die-monate-des-aktienmarkts-im-jahresverlauf\">Die Monate des Aktienmarkts im Jahresverlauf<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Das Balkendiagramm zeigt Ihnen dazu sortiert nach Kalendermonaten die mittlere Performance des S&amp;P 500 in Prozent ab 1970.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-s-amp-p-500-mittlere-performance-in-prozent-ab-1970\">S&amp;P 500, mittlere Performance, in Prozent, ab 1970<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"935\" height=\"337\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SP-500-average-performance-in-percent-since-1970-1.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500, mittlere Performance, in Prozent, ab 1970\" class=\"wp-image-17363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SP-500-average-performance-in-percent-since-1970-1.png 935w, https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SP-500-average-performance-in-percent-since-1970-1-720x260.png 720w, https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SP-500-average-performance-in-percent-since-1970-1-768x277.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 935px) 100vw, 935px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Der September ist der schw\u00e4chste Monat. <\/em>Quelle: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/\">Seasonax<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wie Sie sehen, sticht der September mit einem roten Balken hervor. Er weist nach unten. Der September hat als einziger Monat im Mittel einen Verlust erzielt. Dieser betrug \u00fcber ein Prozent. F\u00fcr einen mittleren Monatsertrag ist das ein durchaus beachtlicher Wert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ab-mitte-september-droht-die-grosste-abschwachung\">Ab Mitte September droht die gr\u00f6\u00dfte Abschw\u00e4chung<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Doch wie verl\u00e4uft die saisonale Schw\u00e4che genau?&nbsp; Sehen Sie sich dazu die Saisonalit\u00e4t des US-Aktienindex S&amp;P 500 im taggenauen saisonalen Chart an.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>F\u00fcr den Index habe ich den detrendeten saisonalen Verlauf gew\u00e4hlt. Durchs Detrending wird der \u00fcbergeordnete Trend herausgerechnet. Der Endpunkt des Charts kommt beim Startpunkt zu liegen. Dazu wird die \u00fcbergeordnete Kursbewegung anteilig auf alle Tage verteilt abgezogen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detrending k\u00f6nnen Sie in <em>Seasonax <\/em>ganz einfach einschalten, indem Sie auf den Button mit dem Pfeilsymbol oberhalb des Charts klicken:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-schalter-furs-detrending-in-seasonax\">Schalter f\u00fcrs Detrending in <em>Seasonax<\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"721\" height=\"137\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Detrending-switch-in-Seasonax-1.png\" alt=\"Schalter f\u00fcrs Detrending in Seasonax\" class=\"wp-image-17364\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Detrending macht den saisonalen Trend besser sichtbar. <\/em>Quelle: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/\">Seasonax<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Im detrendeten Chart k\u00f6nnen Sie so den saisonalen Trend optisch schneller&nbsp; erkennen. Dies erleichtert insbesondere die Analyse von Schw\u00e4chephasen in&nbsp; Instrumenten, die in der Vergangenheit gestiegen waren.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Der n\u00e4chste Chart zeigt Ihnen taggenau den detrendeten saisonalen Verlauf des S&amp;P 500:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-s-amp-p-500-detrender-saisonaler-verlauf-ermittelt-uber-55-jahre\">S&amp;P 500, detrender saisonaler Verlauf, ermittelt \u00fcber 55 Jahre<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"717\" height=\"410\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SP-500-detrender-seasonal-trend-determined-over-55-years-1.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500, detrender saisonaler Verlauf, ermittelt \u00fcber 55 Jahre\" class=\"wp-image-17365\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Die saisonalen Schw\u00e4chephasen sind gut zu erkennen. <\/em>Quelle: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/\">Seasonax<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wie Sie sehen, f\u00e4llt der S&amp;P 500 besonders stark ab Mitte September. Die saisonale Schw\u00e4chephase beginnt aber tendenziell schon fr\u00fcher Mitte Juli und h\u00e4lt bis Ende Oktober an.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Die kommenden Wochen k\u00f6nnten somit am Aktienmarkt wieder gef\u00e4hrlich werden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Passen Sie auf, ignorieren Sie die saisonalen Warnzeichen besser nicht!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Herzliche Gr\u00fc\u00dfe,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dimitri Speck<br>Gr\u00fcnder und Chef-Analytiker von <em>Seasonax<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>PS: Machen Sie mit Saisonalit\u00e4t nicht nur Gewinne, reduzieren Sie auch Ihre Risiken!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Die Aktienm\u00e4rkte hatten Anfang August einen Einbruch erlitten. In der Tat ist der August auch saisonal ein schwacher Monat \u2013 ab 1970 der zweitschw\u00e4chste im Jahreszyklus.<\/p>\n<p>Doch es gibt einen noch schw\u00e4cheren Monat: der September.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":17374,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_edit_lock":["1758636456:81"],"stackable_optimized_css":[""],"stackable_optimized_css_raw":["a:0:{}"],"_eb_reusable_block_ids":["a:0:{}"],"_edit_last":["1"],"seasonax_select":["-"],"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":["215"],"_yoast_wpseo_primary_post_folder":[""],"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":["September S&P500"],"_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":["Erfahren Sie, warum der September historisch gesehen der schw\u00e4chste Monat f\u00fcr den S&P 500 ist, mit einem durchschnittlichen Verlust seit 1970."],"_yoast_wpseo_linkdex":["58"],"_yoast_wpseo_content_score":["60"],"_yoast_wpseo_focuskeywords":["[]"],"_yoast_wpseo_keywordsynonyms":["[\"\"]"],"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":["3"],"_thumbnail_id":["17374"],"_yoast_indexnow_last_ping":["1743492571"],"_pys_head_footer":["a:7:{s:14:\"disable_global\";b:0;s:8:\"head_any\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"head_desktop\";s:0:\"\";s:11:\"head_mobile\";s:0:\"\";s:10:\"footer_any\";s:0:\"\";s:14:\"footer_desktop\";s:0:\"\";s:13:\"footer_mobile\";s:0:\"\";}"],"_wp_page_template":["default"],"_wpml_word_count":["482"],"_uag_css_file_name":["uag-css-17362.css"],"_uag_page_assets":["a:9:{s:3:\"css\";s:263:\".uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-desktop) !important}@media (max-width: 976px){.uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-tablet) !important}}@media (max-width: 767px){.uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-mobile) !important}}\n\";s:2:\"js\";s:0:\"\";s:18:\"current_block_list\";a:17:{i:0;s:14:\"core\/post-date\";i:1;s:14:\"core\/paragraph\";i:2;s:12:\"core\/heading\";i:3;s:10:\"core\/image\";i:4;s:11:\"core\/search\";i:5;s:10:\"core\/group\";i:6;s:17:\"core\/latest-posts\";i:7;s:20:\"core\/latest-comments\";i:8;s:13:\"core\/archives\";i:9;s:15:\"core\/categories\";i:10;s:12:\"core\/buttons\";i:11;s:11:\"core\/button\";i:12;s:13:\"blocksy\/query\";i:13;s:21:\"blocksy\/post-template\";i:14;s:12:\"core\/columns\";i:15;s:11:\"core\/column\";i:16;s:20:\"blocksy\/dynamic-data\";}s:8:\"uag_flag\";b:0;s:11:\"uag_version\";s:10:\"1776346309\";s:6:\"gfonts\";a:0:{}s:10:\"gfonts_url\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"gfonts_files\";a:0:{}s:14:\"uag_faq_layout\";b:0;}"]},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"post_folder":[],"class_list":["post-17362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-seasonal-insights"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Der schw\u00e4chste Monat hat begonnen! 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In der Tat ist der August auch saisonal ein schwacher Monat \u2013 ab 1970 der zweitschw\u00e4chste im Jahreszyklus. Doch es gibt einen noch schw\u00e4cheren Monat: der September.","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17362","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17362"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17362\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20497,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17362\/revisions\/20497"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17362"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17362"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17362"},{"taxonomy":"post_folder","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_folder?post=17362"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}