{"id":23627,"date":"2025-09-24T14:23:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T12:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T14:23:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T12:23:18","slug":"comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/","title":{"rendered":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Article en allemand<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cher investisseur,<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Savez-vous quelle est la question qui m&#8217;est le plus souvent pos\u00e9e au sujet de la saisonnalit\u00e9 ?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La question est la suivante : \u00ab Monsieur Speck, combien d&#8217;ann\u00e9es dois-je analyser pour calculer la tendance saisonni\u00e8re sur le graphique afin que celle-ci soit particuli\u00e8rement prometteuse et fiable ? \u00bb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ma r\u00e9ponse est la suivante : \u00ab 10 ans, cela suffit. \u00bb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-best-number-of-years-in-practice\">Le nombre d&#8217;ann\u00e9es d&#8217;exp\u00e9rience id\u00e9al<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bien s\u00fbr, d&#8217;un point de vue statistique, il serait plus pertinent de prendre en compte une p\u00e9riode de 20 ans plut\u00f4t que de 10, par exemple. N\u00e9anmoins, 10 ans sont suffisants dans la plupart des cas. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ma r\u00e9ponse pourrait vous surprendre \u00e0 premi\u00e8re vue. D&#8217;un point de vue statistique, il est en effet pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable qu&#8217;une action ait progress\u00e9 dans 18 cas sur 20 lors du rebond automnal plut\u00f4t que dans 9 cas sur 10. Bien que le taux de r\u00e9ussite de 90 % soit identique dans les deux cas, il repose sur un plus grand nombre de valeurs.  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">C&#8217;est pourquoi, dans la plupart des cas, je prenais le plus grand nombre possible.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cependant, j&#8217;ai depuis effectu\u00e9 des calculs r\u00e9trospectifs approfondis en m&#8217;appuyant sur les cours pass\u00e9s et les tendances saisonni\u00e8res afin de v\u00e9rifier ce qui avait r\u00e9ellement fonctionn\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ces calculs r\u00e9trospectifs ont montr\u00e9 que, m\u00eame en se basant sur une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans, les motifs saisonniers peuvent g\u00e9n\u00e9rer une surperformance notable.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-columns stk-block-columns stk-block stk-6ffa0e4\" data-block-id=\"6ffa0e4\"><div class=\"stk-row stk-inner-blocks stk-block-content stk-content-align stk-6ffa0e4-column\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-column stk-block-column stk-column stk-block stk-aef7966\" data-v=\"4\" data-block-id=\"aef7966\"><style>@media screen and (min-width:690px){.stk-aef7966 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 66.7% !important;}}<\/style><div class=\"stk-column-wrapper stk-block-column__content stk-container stk-aef7966-container stk--no-background stk--no-padding\"><div class=\"stk-block-content stk-inner-blocks stk-aef7966-inner-blocks\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br\/>Par cons\u00e9quent, <em>commencez par examiner<\/em> la saisonnalit\u00e9 sur une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans. Il s&#8217;agit \u00e9galement du param\u00e8tre par d\u00e9faut dans <em>Seasonax<\/em>. Ensuite, il m&#8217;arrive parfois de s\u00e9lectionner un nombre d&#8217;ann\u00e9es plus important. C&#8217;est tr\u00e8s facile \u00e0 faire dans <em>Seasonax, dans <\/em>les param\u00e8tres situ\u00e9s au-dessus du graphique.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cependant, un nombre plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 ne fait que renforcer ma certitude et ne constitue pas le crit\u00e8re d\u00e9terminant dans mes d\u00e9cisions.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-stackable-column stk-block-column stk-column stk-block stk-43d5c22\" data-v=\"4\" data-block-id=\"43d5c22\"><style>@media screen and (min-width:690px){.stk-43d5c22 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 33.3% !important;}}<\/style><div class=\"stk-column-wrapper stk-block-column__content stk-container stk-43d5c22-container stk--no-background stk--no-padding\"><div class=\"stk-block-content stk-inner-blocks stk-43d5c22-inner-blocks\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"136\" height=\"247\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Seasonax-App-Time-Period-Selection-Buttons-Seasonal-Insights.png\" alt=\"Boutons &#xAB; Horizon d'investissement &#xBB; de l'application Seasonax.&#10;Identification des motifs saisonniers &#xE0; l'aide de p&#xE9;riodes d'analyse allant de 5 &#xE0; plus de 40 ans.\" class=\"wp-image-21086\" style=\"width:90px;height:auto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Identifiez les motifs saisonniers \u00e0 l&#8217;aide de la p\u00e9riode d&#8217;analyse disponible dans <a href=\"https:\/\/app.seasonax.com\/login\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">l&#8217;application Seasonax<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-why-10-years-is-usually-sufficient\">Pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans est g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement suffisante<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La pertinence temporelle est la principale raison pour laquelle une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans est g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement suffisante. Apr\u00e8s tout, quelle importance cela a-t-il aujourd\u2019hui qu\u2019une action n\u2019ait pas enregistr\u00e9 de performances nettement sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 celles de l\u2019indice S&amp;P 500 au cours d\u2019une certaine phase saisonni\u00e8re il y a 10 ou 20 ans ? Probablement aucune, car les motifs saisonniers peuvent \u00e9voluer avec le temps.  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Comme tout ce qui touche aux march\u00e9s, les tendances saisonni\u00e8res ne sont pas totalement fig\u00e9es, mais plut\u00f4t dynamiques.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">C\u2019est pourquoi, dans la plupart des cas, il me suffit qu\u2019un instrument ait affich\u00e9 un motif saisonnier fort au cours des 10 ans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents. Ce qui importe bien plus que le nombre d\u2019ann\u00e9es en soi, c\u2019est<em> la r\u00e9gularit\u00e9 avec laquelle<\/em> les rendements sont r\u00e9partis sur cette p\u00e9riode. Je n\u2019ai aucun mal \u00e0 accepter une ou deux valeurs aberrantes :  <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"622\" height=\"230\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Seasonax-App-Pattern-Returns-Seasonal-Insights.png\" alt=\"Graphique de l'application Seasonax mettant en &#xE9;vidence les rendements individuels sur la p&#xE9;riode d'analyse s&#xE9;lectionn&#xE9;e\" class=\"wp-image-21088\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Des motifs saisonniers marqu\u00e9s se traduisent par des rendements r\u00e9partis de mani\u00e8re homog\u00e8ne, comme le montrent les \u00ab Rendements individuels \u00bb dans <a href=\"https:\/\/app.seasonax.com\/login\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">l&#8217;application Seasonax<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Soit dit en passant, l&#8217;ann\u00e9e la plus r\u00e9cente peut afficher un r\u00e9sultat n\u00e9gatif : il se peut tout \u00e0 fait qu&#8217;elle n&#8217;ait pas g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 de b\u00e9n\u00e9fice au cours de la p\u00e9riode saisonni\u00e8re concern\u00e9e. Mes calculs r\u00e9trospectifs l&#8217;ont confirm\u00e9 \u00e0 maintes reprises. <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-i-make-my-preliminary-selection-using-the-screener\">J&#8217;effectue ma s\u00e9lection pr\u00e9liminaire \u00e0 l&#8217;aide du Screener<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mais comment choisir concr\u00e8tement mes actions ? J&#8217;utilise g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement le Screener saisonnier pour cela. Le param\u00e8tre par d\u00e9faut est \u00e9galement de 10 ans.  <\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"327\" src=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Seasonax-App-Screener-View-Seasonal-Insights.png\" alt=\"Le Screener de Seasonax permet de r&#xE9;p&#xE9;rer les motifs saisonniers, par exemple ceux des actions du NASDAQ 100, gr&#xE2;ce &#xE0; des crit&#xE8;res et des param&#xE8;tres personnalisables pour une analyse avanc&#xE9;e du march&#xE9;.\" class=\"wp-image-21090\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Par d\u00e9faut, le Screener saisonnier met en \u00e9vidence les motifs saisonniers sur une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans, avec des options permettant de personnaliser les crit\u00e8res pour une analyse avanc\u00e9e du march\u00e9 dans <a href=\"https:\/\/app.seasonax.com\/login\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">l&#8217;application Seasonax<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vous pouvez \u00e9galement modifier ce param\u00e8tre par d\u00e9faut si vous le souhaitez.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toutefois, si vous choisissez une p\u00e9riode de 20 ans au lieu de 10 ans pour l&#8217;indice NASDAQ 100, le nombre d&#8217;actions prises en compte passe de 84 \u00e0 66. Et si vous modifiez ensuite d&#8217;autres param\u00e8tres, tels que le taux de r\u00e9ussite, l&#8217;\u00e9chantillon d&#8217;actions peut encore se r\u00e9duire, devenant parfois tr\u00e8s restreint. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cela met en \u00e9vidence un autre avantage de l&#8217;utilisation d&#8217;une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans : le Screener affiche davantage d&#8217;instruments, car toutes les actions ne disposent pas d&#8217;un historique de cotation sur 20 ans. C&#8217;est pourquoi je m&#8217;en tiens au param\u00e8tre par d\u00e9faut de 10 ans dans le Screener lors de la recherche d&#8217;instruments pr\u00e9sentant des motifs saisonniers marqu\u00e9s. <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-find-good-seasonal-patterns-for-yourself\">Trouvez les motifs saisonniers qui vous conviennent !<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J&#8217;esp\u00e8re que vous avez pu bien comprendre le fonctionnement du trading saisonnier.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 <em>Seasonax<\/em>, vous pouvez facilement identifier les motifs saisonniers pertinents afin d&#8217;am\u00e9liorer vos op\u00e9rations de trading.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Je vous souhaite beaucoup de succ\u00e8s \u2013 et beaucoup de plaisir en utilisant Seasonax !<br\/><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cordialement,<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dimitri Speck<br\/><\/strong>Fondateur et analyste en chef chez <em>Seasonax<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P.S. : Ces conseils pratiques vous aideront \u00e0 am\u00e9liorer vos rendements !<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pourquoi les meilleurs traders s&#8217;appuient-ils souvent sur seulement 10 ans de donn\u00e9es pour identifier les tendances saisonni\u00e8res ? Dimitri Speck explique pourquoi cette p\u00e9riode est souvent suffisante pour mettre en \u00e9vidence des motifs exploitables, en quoi le timing choisi peut \u00eatre plus d\u00e9terminant que les donn\u00e9es historiques \u00e0 elles seules, et pourquoi m\u00eame une seule ann\u00e9e atypique ne remet que rarement en cause la tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, ce qui en fait un choix pratique pour prendre des d\u00e9cisions de trading fiables. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":23626,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_pingme":["1"],"_encloseme":["1"],"_uagb_previous_block_counts":["a:90:{s:21:\"uagb\/advanced-heading\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/blockquote\";i:0;s:12:\"uagb\/buttons\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/buttons-child\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/call-to-action\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/cf7-styler\";i:0;s:11:\"uagb\/column\";i:0;s:12:\"uagb\/columns\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/container\";i:0;s:21:\"uagb\/content-timeline\";i:0;s:27:\"uagb\/content-timeline-child\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/countdown\";i:0;s:12:\"uagb\/counter\";i:0;s:8:\"uagb\/faq\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/faq-child\";i:0;s:10:\"uagb\/forms\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/forms-accept\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/forms-checkbox\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/forms-date\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/forms-email\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/forms-hidden\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/forms-name\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/forms-phone\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/forms-radio\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/forms-select\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/forms-textarea\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/forms-toggle\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/forms-url\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/gf-styler\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/google-map\";i:0;s:11:\"uagb\/how-to\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/how-to-step\";i:0;s:9:\"uagb\/icon\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/icon-list\";i:0;s:20:\"uagb\/icon-list-child\";i:0;s:10:\"uagb\/image\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/image-gallery\";i:0;s:13:\"uagb\/info-box\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/inline-notice\";i:0;s:11:\"uagb\/lottie\";i:0;s:21:\"uagb\/marketing-button\";i:0;s:10:\"uagb\/modal\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/popup-builder\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/post-button\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/post-carousel\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/post-excerpt\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/post-grid\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/post-image\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/post-masonry\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/post-meta\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/post-taxonomy\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/post-timeline\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/post-title\";i:0;s:20:\"uagb\/restaurant-menu\";i:0;s:26:\"uagb\/restaurant-menu-child\";i:0;s:11:\"uagb\/review\";i:0;s:12:\"uagb\/section\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/separator\";i:0;s:11:\"uagb\/slider\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/slider-child\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/social-share\";i:0;s:23:\"uagb\/social-share-child\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/star-rating\";i:0;s:23:\"uagb\/sure-cart-checkout\";i:0;s:22:\"uagb\/sure-cart-product\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/sure-forms\";i:0;s:22:\"uagb\/table-of-contents\";i:0;s:9:\"uagb\/tabs\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/tabs-child\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/taxonomy-list\";i:0;s:9:\"uagb\/team\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/testimonial\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/wp-search\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/instagram-feed\";i:0;s:10:\"uagb\/login\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/loop-builder\";i:0;s:18:\"uagb\/loop-category\";i:0;s:20:\"uagb\/loop-pagination\";i:0;s:15:\"uagb\/loop-reset\";i:0;s:16:\"uagb\/loop-search\";i:0;s:14:\"uagb\/loop-sort\";i:0;s:17:\"uagb\/loop-wrapper\";i:0;s:13:\"uagb\/register\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/register-email\";i:0;s:24:\"uagb\/register-first-name\";i:0;s:23:\"uagb\/register-last-name\";i:0;s:22:\"uagb\/register-password\";i:0;s:30:\"uagb\/register-reenter-password\";i:0;s:19:\"uagb\/register-terms\";i:0;s:22:\"uagb\/register-username\";i:0;}"],"_last_translation_edit_mode":["translation-editor"],"_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":["36"],"_wpml_media_duplicate":["1"],"_wpml_media_featured":["1"],"_top_nav_excluded":[""],"_cms_nav_minihome":[""],"blocksy_post_meta_options":["a:1:{s:17:\"styles_descriptor\";a:3:{s:6:\"styles\";a:3:{s:7:\"desktop\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"tablet\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"mobile\";s:0:\"\";}s:12:\"google_fonts\";a:0:{}s:7:\"version\";i:7;}}"],"_thumbnail_id":["23626"],"stackable_optimized_css":["@media screen and (min-width:768px){.stk-aef7966{flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 66.7% !important;}.stk-43d5c22{flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 33.3% !important;}}"],"stackable_optimized_css_raw":["a:2:{s:7:\"aef7966\";a:1:{i:0;a:2:{i:0;s:116:\"<style>@media screen and (min-width: 768px){.stk-aef7966 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 66.7% !important;}}<\/style>\";i:1;s:101:\"@media screen and (min-width: 768px){.stk-aef7966 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 66.7% !important;}}\";}}s:7:\"43d5c22\";a:1:{i:0;a:2:{i:0;s:116:\"<style>@media screen and (min-width: 768px){.stk-43d5c22 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 33.3% !important;}}<\/style>\";i:1;s:101:\"@media screen and (min-width: 768px){.stk-43d5c22 {flex:var(--stk-flex-grow, 1) 1 33.3% !important;}}\";}}}"],"_wpml_word_count":["955"],"_eb_reusable_block_ids":["a:0:{}"],"_uag_page_assets":["a:9:{s:3:\"css\";s:260:\".uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-desktop) !important}@media(max-width: 976px){.uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-tablet) !important}}@media(max-width: 767px){.uag-blocks-common-selector{z-index:var(--z-index-mobile) !important}}\";s:2:\"js\";s:0:\"\";s:18:\"current_block_list\";a:18:{i:0;s:14:\"core\/paragraph\";i:1;s:12:\"core\/heading\";i:2;s:17:\"stackable\/columns\";i:3;s:16:\"stackable\/column\";i:5;s:10:\"core\/image\";i:6;s:11:\"core\/search\";i:7;s:10:\"core\/group\";i:8;s:17:\"core\/latest-posts\";i:9;s:20:\"core\/latest-comments\";i:10;s:13:\"core\/archives\";i:11;s:15:\"core\/categories\";i:12;s:12:\"core\/buttons\";i:13;s:11:\"core\/button\";i:14;s:13:\"blocksy\/query\";i:15;s:21:\"blocksy\/post-template\";i:16;s:12:\"core\/columns\";i:17;s:11:\"core\/column\";i:18;s:20:\"blocksy\/dynamic-data\";}s:8:\"uag_flag\";b:0;s:11:\"uag_version\";s:10:\"1786629612\";s:6:\"gfonts\";a:0:{}s:10:\"gfonts_url\";s:0:\"\";s:12:\"gfonts_files\";a:0:{}s:14:\"uag_faq_layout\";b:0;}"],"_uag_css_file_name":["uag-css-23627.css"]},"categories":[3662],"tags":[3673,3663],"post_folder":[],"class_list":["post-23627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-seasonal-insights","tag-application-seasonax","tag-actions"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":7}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.2 (Yoast SEO v28.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ? - seasonax<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"seasonax\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Seasonax\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1671\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1253\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dimitri Speck\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@seasonaxapp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@seasonaxapp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dimitri Speck\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dimitri Speck\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/0560be299128f8276550fe6190512612\"},\"headline\":\"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":896,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Application Seasonax\",\"stocks\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Seasonal Insights\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/\",\"name\":\"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ? - seasonax\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00\",\"description\":\"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg\",\"width\":1671,\"height\":1253,\"caption\":\"architecture classique \u00e0 colonnes\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"seasonax\",\"description\":\"Analyze.Time.Benefit.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"seasonax\",\"alternateName\":\"seasonax\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/seasonax_logo.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/seasonax_logo.svg\",\"width\":930,\"height\":120,\"caption\":\"seasonax\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/Seasonax\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/seasonaxapp\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5282589\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/0560be299128f8276550fe6190512612\",\"name\":\"Dimitri Speck\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Dimitri Speck\"},\"description\":\"Dimitri Speck is a renowned financial analyst and fund manager, who has earned accolades for his innovative seasonal investment strategy. Dimitri is a prolific writer, with one of the biggest stock market letters in Germany, along with several books. He won several awards, including the Hedge Fund Journal\u2019s award for the best European commodity fund in 2013 and the Scope Innovations Award in 2018.\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.seasonax.com\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/dimitri-speck\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ? - seasonax","description":"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?","og_description":"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/","og_site_name":"seasonax","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Seasonax\/","article_published_time":"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1671,"height":1253,"url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dimitri Speck","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@seasonaxapp","twitter_site":"@seasonaxapp","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Dimitri Speck","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/"},"author":{"name":"Dimitri Speck","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#\/schema\/person\/0560be299128f8276550fe6190512612"},"headline":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?","datePublished":"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/"},"wordCount":896,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg","keywords":["Application Seasonax","stocks"],"articleSection":["Seasonal Insights"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/","name":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ? - seasonax","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg","datePublished":"2025-09-24T12:23:00+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-13T12:23:18+00:00","description":"D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans suffit pour identifier des tendances de trading fiables et comment mettre cela en pratique avec Seasonax.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg","width":1671,"height":1253,"caption":"architecture classique \u00e0 colonnes"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/comment-trouver-un-bon-motif-saisonnier\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Comment trouver un bon motif saisonnier ?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/","name":"seasonax","description":"Analyze.Time.Benefit.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#organization","name":"seasonax","alternateName":"seasonax","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/seasonax_logo.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/seasonax_logo.svg","width":930,"height":120,"caption":"seasonax"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Seasonax\/","https:\/\/x.com\/seasonaxapp","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5282589\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/#\/schema\/person\/0560be299128f8276550fe6190512612","name":"Dimitri Speck","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/72ee887c6c61da7f3ad7960611ac357e455b0749cf8c0dd759fdead43c75f60f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Dimitri Speck"},"description":"Dimitri Speck is a renowned financial analyst and fund manager, who has earned accolades for his innovative seasonal investment strategy. Dimitri is a prolific writer, with one of the biggest stock market letters in Germany, along with several books. He won several awards, including the Hedge Fund Journal\u2019s award for the best European commodity fund in 2013 and the Scope Innovations Award in 2018.","url":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/author\/dimitri-speck\/"}]}},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg",1671,1253,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz-300x300.jpeg",300,300,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz-720x540.jpeg",720,540,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz-768x576.jpeg",768,576,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg",1290,967,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz-1536x1152.jpeg",1536,1152,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/seasonal-insights-seasonax-alejandro-pohlenz.jpeg",1671,1253,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Dimitri Speck","author_link":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/author\/dimitri-speck\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Pourquoi les meilleurs traders s'appuient-ils souvent sur seulement 10 ans de donn\u00e9es pour identifier les tendances saisonni\u00e8res ? Dimitri Speck explique pourquoi cette p\u00e9riode est souvent suffisante pour mettre en \u00e9vidence des motifs exploitables, en quoi le timing choisi peut \u00eatre plus d\u00e9terminant que les donn\u00e9es historiques \u00e0 elles seules, et pourquoi m\u00eame une seule\u2026","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23627"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23631,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23627\/revisions\/23631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23627"},{"taxonomy":"post_folder","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.seasonax.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_folder?post=23627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}