Kiwi bias for December strength
At the last RBNZ meeting they took on a decidedly hawkish tone. The RBNZ recognises that annual inflation remains too high at 7.2% and it hiked by 75bps to 4.25%. This 75 bps was expected, but the surprise was that…
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US oil
US oil has some mixed drivers right now. The OPEC+ production cuts had been providing some support for oil alongside a weaker USD. Furthermore, the announcement of a 16 point property support plan for China could prop up more expectations…
Disney Earnings
Walt Disney earnings are due after today’s close and investors will be watching for news of how their Disney+ subscription service has been doing. Have Disney+ managed to eat into Netflix and Amazon Prime’s margins? Disney already have more subscribers…
Check out the midterm seasonals for S&P500
The US Midterm elections have a very strong seasonal pattern that you need to be aware of. Since 1950 the US midterms have resulted in gains 83% of the time between November 20 and December 30, Now, if you extend…
Time in vs Timing the Market
Seasonax is a tool that suits short, medium, and long term traders. Trying to time the market is a significant challenge that even professional investors struggle with. So, there are a couple of simple points that can help with those…
Fed: To buy or not to buy
To borrow a phrase from a soliloquy in Shakespeare’s Prince Hamlet, ‘To pause or not to pause’, is the question investors have been toying with coming into Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Analysts are generally quite divided on what the Fed will…
Allianz Trade Recap
At the start of October one of the stocks that looked very attractive to me was Allianz. This is a German multinational financial services company and one that is potentially attractive in a rate hiking cycle. Generally speaking, higher interest…
Amazon Earnings on Thursday!
Amazon announces its earnings on Thursday and around a quarter of the S&P500 companies have now reported and over 50% have outperformed their estimates. Will Amazon outperform this year on their Q3 earnings? Investors will be looking at this data…
Bitcoin Bounce!
According to the blockchain data platform Chainanalsys the largest region for cryptocurrency adoption is Western Europe. The all time high for cryptocurrency interest was in the the second quarter of Q2 of 2021. However, although adoption has reduced in interest…
Apple in focus
Apple seasonals show big two-way risks ahead! News last week that Apple’s manufacturers in China have been instructed to immediately halt production of the iPhone 14 caused shares of Apple to fall on the Tuesday of last week. Now many…