Amgen is a multinational biopharmaceutical company that specialises in the development and manufacturing of innovative therapies to treat serious illnesses. The company is focused on using advanced biotechnology and scientific research to address some of the most complex medical conditions,…
Summer can be a weaker time for many stocks, but Amazon’s seasonals tend to show a sizzling summer, especially during June and July. In fact July has been the strongest month for Amazon’s stock price over the last 15 years.…
Last week, Nvidia witnessed a significant surge in its shares, experiencing a nearly 25% increase on Thursday. This surge was primarily driven by optimistic market sentiment surrounding the potential for substantial gains resulting from advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) technology.…
Recently the Dax has been under pressure seeing solid days of selling on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. US debt default risk, geo-political tensions, a gloomy German IFO print, and high UK inflation likely to prompt higher rates from…
DexCom, Inc. is a global company headquartered in San Diego, California, that focuses on the development, manufacturing, and distribution of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for managing diabetes. These systems enable individuals with diabetes to monitor their blood glucose levels…
Gold has been pressured recently on USD gains, and rising real yields. This has resulted in gold pulling back recently from recent highs and moving back towards key daily support levels. Many analysts are expecting the case to remain…
On May 12 the NZD lost value against the AUD due to cooling inflation projections. New Zealand 2 year inflation expectations fell to 2.8% from 3.3% prior for Q2. These cooler inflation projections sent the AUDNZD pair higher. However, ANZ…
llumina, Inc. is a biotechnology company based in San Diego, California, that operates in over 140 countries. Established in 1998, Illumina specialises in the creation, production, and distribution of integrated systems used in the examination of genetic diversity and biological…
On Wednesday May 17 Cisco Systems will announce its latest earnings. Cisco’s primary business is in networking and telecommunication products and solutions. Its products include routers, switches, wireless access points, network security devices etc. Cisco has a diversified business portfolio,…
Home Depot is a multinational corporation specialising in home improvement retail. It offers a wide range of products and services including tools, construction materials, appliances, fuel, and transportation rentals. As the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, Home…
Short term interest rate markets are pricing in 84% chance of a 25bps rate hike from the BoE and another hike in the summer. The UK is fighting headline inflation still in the double digits and the core is at…
On Wednesday May 10 we have US inflation data out and the market is at an interesting point right now. The USD has been weakening after the Federal Reserve meeting this week on expectations that the Fed has finished their…
So, the Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected on Wednesday and also signalled a rate pause with a meeting by meeting basis on the future path of hikes. In the announcement accompanying the hike the central bank removed language…
Going into this Fed interest rate meeting market expectations are that the Fed will hike by 25bps. Short term interest rate markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a 25bps hike to 5.125%. However, the forward guidance is going…
Pfizer’s earnings seasons are ahead with $1 expected for the EPS and $16.67 billion revenue estimated. Pfizer Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company with a global presence that relies on research as the basis for its operations. The company has multiple…
Amazon shares are in focus for Thursday with the earnings announcement coming after the close. The news from Microsoft that it’s cloud-computing business shows growth also helped expectations for Amazon which also has a large cloud business. The seasonal moves…
Big name tech earnings are in acute focus this week and Meta (formerly Facebook) will be eyed carefully by investors for signs of where the company is heading with the so called “Metaverse’. The Metaverse idea seemed to be peaking…
The Fed meets on May 03 and there is an increasingly bearish attitude to stocks and the prospects of further gains in stocks are viewed nervously. Despite these bearish projections April has been a strong month for some of the…
American Express earnings are coming up before the open on Thursday. The company could be poised to benefit from a rebound in travel and dining, as well as its still strong premium consumer contingent in it’s crucial US market. It’s network volume…
Tesla’s earnings are due out after the close on Wednesday and there is a lot of anxiety around the stock market right now with very few holding a bullish position. Tesla has been embarking on a large cost cutting plan…
The focus for banks this earnings season is what deposit levels are like. Many major banks offering low-interest rate levels on deposits, despite higher-yielding bonds (US 10-year bond are offering a 3.40% yield at the moment), depositors are moving their…
The CAC40 tends to have a strong month in April. Over the last 36 years the index has gained 2.52% on average. This is the strongest performing month for the French index. The second half of the month is also…
JPMorgan earnings are due out on Friday and the seasonal moves are quite interesting. From a seasonal perspective the stock leans towards gains in the second half of April before a much weaker period over the summer months. Analysts are…
Higher interest rates typically benefit lenders as the higher rates can provide more margin for loans and credit repayments. Furthermore, VISA’s CFO said in January this year tha business trends are remarkably stable and that the company are planning on…
As the US increasingly faces the prospect of heading into a recession one sector that investors gravitate to is consumer staples. The logic is that consumers still need to buy certain products, but that they will gravitate towards stores targeting…
Next week both the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meet, The RBA meet early Tuesday morning on the 4th of April at 05:30 UK time and the RBNZ meet early Wednesday morning at 03:00.…
The fall in real yields alongside the fall in the USD surrounding rapid US rate re-pricing on the recent banking woes has been a great catalyst for precious metals. Gold is currently up 7% on the month and silver is…
Kellogg’s is a well known US multinational food manufacturer that is headquartered in Battle Creek, Michigan in the United States. It was known as the Kellogg company from 1922, so the firm is now over one hundred years old. Kelloggs…
Johnson and Johnson are trying to revive their attempts to get the US supreme court to resolve tens of thousands of lawsuits over its talcum powder products through the bankruptcy of a subsidiary company. This ongoing dispute concerns allegations of…
Meta has said that new WhatsApp features will begin rolling out across the world over the coming weeks. However, jobs cuts at Meta have painted a dour picture of growth for the company. In December last year jobs were cut…
The Bank of England meet on Thursday and there are signs of disinflationary forces are already at work. UK headline and core inflation has been falling from October highs of last year, so the BoE may be inclined to hold…
Ever since the SVB and Credit Suisse banking crises markets have been worried about contagion fears. The question is this , ‘will the Fed change their policy path in light of the recent banking sector strains’. Furthermore, even if they…
Merck & Co is a multinational health care US company which is based in New Jersey. Originally founded in Germany Merck is known for its development of medicines, vaccines, and biological therapies. With Goldman Sachs raising their probability of the…
BMW is expecting 20% of total sales to be from fully electric models by 2024 and expects 50% of all total sales well ahead of 2030. So, BMW’s electric shift is picking up pace and the manufacturer is looking well…
Since the fall out from the SVB banking crisis the moves in Microsoft have been fairly modest. Despite the larger falls in the major US indices Microsoft share prices have been fairly stable. So, there is an old saying in…
The Fed is set to meet on Wednesday this week and speculation is growing that silver will surge on falling real yields. The logic is that the SVB crisis will send yields lower on less aggressive Fed rate expectations, but…
On Friday March 10 the US will release it’s jobs report for February. In the Fed’s thinking a ‘tight’ (strong) labour market is inflationary. So, if the jobs print comes in above 325K and average hourly earnings above 4.8% the…
Whether the US has a hard, soft, or even no landing is a matter of debate. However, many analyst are expecting a slow down in the US economy and rising interest rates mean higher charges for customers who have credit.…
On Wednesday March 08 Jerome Powell will give his semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee. This testimony is known as the ‘Humphrey-Hawkins’ testimony and it is a bi-annual report given to congress. The testimony is a…
McDonald’s is an American multinational fast food chain. It was founded in 1940 in California in the US. It is a US consumer discretionary corporation that has a strong seasonal patten approaching. With many analysts seeing a US recession approaching…
In this video, Giles outlines the different risk events that traders can search for using Seasonax’s risk event tool! This is a fantastic tool for searching a whole range of known market moving events. On Friday the US ISM Non-Manufacturing…
Best Buy is an American multinational consumer electronics retailer with its HQ in California. Best Buy sells a variety of different electronic goods from phones, video games, computers, and a variety of appliances. However, with some early signs this week…
Salesforce is an American cloud based software provider that has its headquarters in San Francisco, California. The company has cloud based applications that focuses on e-commerce, analytics, customer relationships and application developments. As future earnings move into focus with the…
Coca-Cola is a well known blue chip US stock that can tend towards gains during recessions. As a consumer staple the thinking goes that most western consumers can still afford a soft drink even though times are tighter. So how…
Booking holdings announce their earnings release after the close on Thursday and that means there could be some volatile trading into the end of the week. Booking Holdings is the world’s number one when it comes to online travel. It…
The FOMC minutes are due out at 1900 UK time on Wednesday. Since the very strong NFP print on February 03 economic data has been leading markets away from the idea of a Fed pause. More and more analyst are…
Walmart is a consumer staple stock which would typically see an influx of bargain hungry consumers in the face of a recession. With Walmart’s earnings due out this week will the company see reasons for optimism ahead? Will the recent falls…
Next week the RBNZ is meeting and there is scope for some movement in the AUDNZD pair. At the last RBNZ meeting the RBNZ were very hawkish combating headline inflation that was over 7%. They projected a terminal rate of 5.5%…
This chart shows the seasonal impact of the US Producer Prices Index print over the last 275 prints. US inflation, alongside US labour data, is a key focus of the Federal Reserve right now. Check out to see how the seasonal…
GM had an advert over the latest Super Bowl announcing that Netflix would be featuring GM cars in some of it’s latest films. GM’s stated aim is that they want to sell a million EVs per year in in North America…
On Tuesday we have the hot anticipated US CPI print. Headline and core inflation is expected to fall from last month’s prior readings and investors are closely watching for this data point to get a sense of the Fed’s next direction. If…
On Thursday last week the Bank of England made a 50bps hike as expected. However, the decision was ultimately seen as a dovish one as the Bank Of England left open the possibility that it could be the last hike of…
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores, selling merchandise for $1 or less. It was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia. Dollar Tree operates over 15,000 stores in 48 U.S. states and 5 Canadian provinces. It…
Some stocks show particular surges around earnings releases and Hilton is one stock that has done very well in the month of February. Hilton Worldwide is an American multinational hospitality company that manages and franchises a broad portfolio of hotels and…
Illumina, Inc. is an American biotech company with its headquarters in San Diego, California. IIllumina, as a health tech company, develops, manufactures, and markets integrated systems for the analysis of genetic variation and biological function. On Tuesday, after the close, it…
The Bank of China is a Chinese majority state-owned commercial bank with its headquarters in Beijing. It was established in 1912 with the aim of serving China with Chinese currency. Now the Bank of China has grown to be the fourth…
Two of the strongest months for gold tend to be January and August. However, over the last 25 years, the weakest month for gold has been March. The early bounce in gold around the turn of the month has largely…
3M is a US company which manufacturers and distributes a wide range of industrial products and solutions. It originally started as a small scale mining venture, but has now grown to a manufacturer of over 60,000 3M products found in many…
That’s what the seasonal bias says from a historical event perspective. Over the last 23 years the seasonal pattern around a Bank of England Rate hike looks like this on the GBPUSD pair. On the day before the hike the GBPUSD…
There are a few reasons cited for oil markets to gain over the medium term. Russia’s oil ban from the EU comes into place on February 05 and China’s recent PMI prints showed a surprise expansionary print indicating strength in China’s…
Walmart is an American multinational retail corporation which focuses on discount department stores mainly in the US. With the US economy showing signs of slowing down and many analysts seeing a strong chance of the US heading into a recession Walmart…
Amazon earnings are due out this week for Q4 2022 and expectations are for an EPS of 0.17 and a revenue of $145.77 billion. Since the start of the year Amazon has been preparing for a coming global turndown by cutting…
Platinum tends to see gains around the start of the year as Industrial purchases are made for the year from 2022. Yes, global growth concerns have been growing, but many company orders for 2023 would have already been made and…
Chevron is a US energy integrated company with exploration and refining operations across the globe. It is the second largest US largest oil producer behind ExxonMobil. Now, oil markets have been relatively subdued over recent months which has been helping with…
Apple has fallen around 20% from it’s highs, and earnings are due out on Thursday. Apple has a few tricks it is trying right now to grab consumers attention. Apple is working on a cheaper mixed reality headset and introduced the…
Since the high of 2021 Tesla’s share price has dropped over 60% as investors fled rate sensitive tech companies on expectations of tougher financial conditions ahead. The question now is, ‘will the US manage a soft landing’ and potentially be able…
The International Business Machines Corporation is an American multinational company operating in over 175 countries with its headquarters in New York. It’s the seventh largest technology company by revenue. Recently Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock from an overweight rating to equal…
There are quite a few positives being touted for Microsoft Stock from analysts right now as to why it may be worth buying. Microsoft invested $1 billion in OpenAI in 2019 and are rumoured to be invest another $10 billion…
At one point in 2022 Netflix was down -75% from it’s all time high, but this fall also brought in dip buyers picking up Netflix at cheaper prices. One of the key reasons for Netflix’s fall last year was the…
Morgan Stanley release their earnings results today and how will the stock respond? Rising interest rates are generally a positive environment for financial stock as higher rates usually mean higher profit margins for bank loans charges. This earnings seasons there…
Bayer AG shares surged higher on Tuesday this week on news that the German company forecast its peak sale of pharmaceuticals to €12 billion. Bayer forecast that its thrombosis treatment asundexian could bring in more than €5 billion. Revenue from…
Berkshire Hathaway is an American multinational company owned by renowned investor Warren Buffett. The company has over $900 billion in assets and Warren Buffett’s is often sought after for his stock buying advice. So, in these uncertain times, does it…
The 14th highest revenue generating company in the US is Cardinal Health. The company has a wide range of health care services and health care as a sector can often be well place to ride out a recession. Why? This…
As the US, EU, and China all face slowing economies and global inflation sits above 8% the most likely outcome at this stage is stagflation for the year ahead. In a slowing economic environment consumer staples are products that people…
The outlook for gold has been improving since the US10Y bond yield appeared to cap out around the 4.35% region at the end of October last year. The USD also gave up its September high high too last year adding…
Some investors have been cautious over investing in China’s tech stocks. However, recent comments from the party secretary of the People’s Bank of China that the tech sector’s heavy clampdown is coming to an end has given investors some confidence…
Netflix earnings are due on January 19 and expectations have been rising that earnings will start to show a sharp drop in US companies. With a coming US recession seen as a base case for the market there is still…
Today I will show you how to use the Seasonax tool to choose a great time for a seasonal trade in a German company, the world famous sportswear company called Adidas! Over the last 15 years Adidas has gained nearly…
Another really notable trend around this time of the year is USD weakness. This is due to some taxation reasons that regularly sees USD flows out of parent US companies into daughter companies around year end. So, the USD does…
Often, around the end of the year, the market has a seasonal patch of USD weakness. The major currency pairs can benefit from this. Now the EURUSD pair is inversely correlated with the USD index. So, USD weakness will equate…
There are few stunning seasonals as good as Platinum’s. The commodity is in hot demand at the start of the year as purchase managers make their purchases for industrial usage at the start of the year. This buying activity tends…
The FOMC rate decision on Wednesday was as expected with a 50 bps hike. However, the summary of economic projections dot plot showed a higher path of interest rates that would be held for longer. The peak rates projected by…
One of the benefits with Seasonax is that you can quickly discover seasonal patterns in currencies with just a few clicks when big market moving events are ahead. Today the ECB meet during the London session and a positive surprise…
There is a big question in markets right now about whether or not the Fed futures rate curve is a fair reflection of what it to come for the US. Are investors too complacent about a retreat from US peak…
There has recently been a string of news for Walt Disney Shares. Walt Disney cruise line is set to return to tropical destinations in the Bahamas, Caribbean, & Mexico in early 2024. Furthermore, Shanghai Disneyland was due to re-open on…
Many stocks tends to gain towards the end of the year in what’s known as a ‘Santa Rally’. Is it optimism surrounding holidays? Window dressing year end results? A self-fulfilling prophecy as the general mood of buying gifts translates into…
Allianz is a German multinational financial services company with its headquarters in Munich Germany. The heart of its business revolves around insurance and asset management. Is an increase in inflationary pressures good news for Allianz who will be able to…
The outlook for the Federal Reserve is mixed. On one hand the US economy could be heading towards a recession next year. The November FOMC minutes stated that it was the ‘base case’. Slowing business activity, the cost of living,…
At the last RBNZ meeting they took on a decidedly hawkish tone. The RBNZ recognises that annual inflation remains too high at 7.2% and it hiked by 75bps to 4.25%. This 75 bps was expected, but the surprise was that…
US oil has some mixed drivers right now. The OPEC+ production cuts had been providing some support for oil alongside a weaker USD. Furthermore, the announcement of a 16 point property support plan for China could prop up more expectations…
Walt Disney earnings are due after today’s close and investors will be watching for news of how their Disney+ subscription service has been doing. Have Disney+ managed to eat into Netflix and Amazon Prime’s margins? Disney already have more subscribers…
The US Midterm elections have a very strong seasonal pattern that you need to be aware of. Since 1950 the US midterms have resulted in gains 83% of the time between November 20 and December 30, Now, if you extend…
Seasonax is a tool that suits short, medium, and long term traders. Trying to time the market is a significant challenge that even professional investors struggle with. So, there are a couple of simple points that can help with those…
To borrow a phrase from a soliloquy in Shakespeare’s Prince Hamlet, ‘To pause or not to pause’, is the question investors have been toying with coming into Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Analysts are generally quite divided on what the Fed will…
In this Tutorial we will show you how to manage your patterns and most importantly: How to receive email notifications for your bookmarked patterns.
