Trading Ideas

Dive into daily market insights and trading opportunities in equity, forex, and commodity markets with our esteemed analyst Giles Coghlan. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.

Can Soybean prices recover from here?

There are some mixed messages for Soybean markets with a bumper crop from Brazil, but high temperatures over the US Summer have been impacting expectations for the US’s crop grade and concerns that China’s consumer habits may be changing too have weighed on sentiment.

October 16, 2023
commodities Soybean

Can the AUDUSD soar on dovish fed hopes?

The latest PPI data this week out of the US was hot and the US CPI yesterday was mildly firmer than markets were expecting. However, recent more dovish Fed rhetoric has increased expectations of the Fed reaching peak rates.

October 13, 2023
audusd

Q4 is super strong for the S&P500

Over the last few days, markets have been confronted by a confused message. On the one hand, the Feds recent messaging has become more dovish indicating that the recent surge in yields could mean the federal reserve doesn’t need to hike in November. However, on the other hand, the PPI print on Wednesday surprised significantly to the upside indicating the Fed had more work to do.

October 12, 2023
S&P 500

Dollar Index Vulnerable To A Correction

The latest CFTC report shows that traders are stretched to the long side on the USD. When you can see stretched positioning it means that there is a vulnerability for a sharp correction if there is any reasons for USD selling.

October 11, 2023
USCPI usd

Gold gains into the US CPI?

US CPI is expected to pull back to 3.6% from August’s print of 3.7% and the core is expected to fall for the sixth month in a row down to 4.1% from the prior reading of 4.3%. This should keep yields and the USD mildly pressured.

October 10, 2023
Gold USCPI

Is there room for some AUDCAD upside?

The recent run of bad news from China looks like it may have run its course with analysts' hopes rising that the worst may be behind China. Hopes for a more positive Q4 are starting to build with strong levels of fiscal support and the latest PMI prints out of China show moves into expansionary prints above 50.

October 9, 2023
AUDCAD BOC China

Can gold reverse on the US Jobs report?

Taking a look at the US Labour report there is a chance that gold can recover it’s recent losses if we see a big miss in the report. Remember that the Fed sees the labour market through an inflationary or…

October 6, 2023
Event Studies Gold

Is this time for a US stock turnaround?

A hawkish Federal Reserve and expectations of increasing interest rates have kept major stocks pressured over the month of September. The higher rates for longer narrative from the latest Fed meeting has helped push up yields and US interest rate expectations which is naturally more challenging conditions for US companies.

October 3, 2023
FED Indices US

Time to go Kroger Co?

The Kroger Company, or simply Kroger, is an American retail company that operates supermarkets and multi-department stores throughout the US. It is a Consumer Staple sector and that sector can find buyers when traders are expecting a recession. The rationale…

September 28, 2023
retail

Utility stocks have appeal during recession

NextEra is a large American energy company with revenues exceeding $18 billion in 2020. If the US is heading towards a recession then typically utility companies, like NextEra energy should find buyers. This is because even when consumers spending power…

September 27, 2023
Energy Utility