Trading Ideas

Dive into daily market insights and trading opportunities in equity, forex, and commodity markets with our esteemed analyst Giles Coghlan. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.

EURUSD & US CPI

A major risk event is coming up for the US on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting on Wednesday. Although US CPI data is unlikely to change the Fed’s mind for Wednesday it will certainly set the mood and tone.

Will The US Jobs Print On Friday Send Gold Soaring?

If you notice you can see that the seasonal pattern becomes very strong after the middle of December. That is not for no reason. The middle of December marks the last Fed meeting, so investors are often confident to take their gold position once the path for US yields and the USD is more predictable with the Fed having finished their last interest rate meeting for the year.

Will The BoC Sink The CAD?

Short-term interest rate markets see the bank of Canada making four 25bps interest rate cuts next year. With expectations that the bank of Canada will leave current interest rates unchanged at 5% this week. Could there be some significant selling in the Canadian dollar?
Dollar Bears Poised To Pounce In December?

Dollar Bears Poised To Pounce In December?

Markets have been happy to sell the dollar recently on the narrative that the US is seeing slowing economic data, inflation is falling,  and the prospect of  federal reserve interest rate cuts are growing ever closer. This dollar weakness is expected to continue as long as the Federal reserve doesn’t signal any more rate hikes.
Worth Filtering For Tech Stock. Text Image.

Worth Filtering For Tech Stock?

Speculation is growing that the US economy is heading for a soft landing. If this is the case, then the recent strong run in technology stocks could carry on. Using the season axis filter option we can filter the strongest seasonal patterns of the individual shares making up the NASDAQ 100.
Text image. How will the opec+ meeting impact oil.

How Will The OPEC+ Meeting Impact Oil?

Oil markets have been pushed and pulled around in recent days and weeks on the worries about supply with the Israel Hamas conflict and most recently on concerns regarding the collaboration of production levels within the OPEC+ group. The latest concern is Nigeria and Angola, having to accept a new baseline that reflects their actual production capabilities.

Going For Gold?

When the US dollar falls and real yields drop too, that tends to be a great environment for gold buying. The last few weeks have seen significant falls in the dollar on expectations that the Federal Reserve has reached the peak in interest rates.

Nvidia Volatility Ahead!

Nvidia’s shares have risen over 230% since the start of the year and their earnings are due out after the close on Tuesday. From a seasonal perspective there is a very strong upside bias in Nvidia, but look at the volatility that there has been too!