As we approach the next Federal Reserve meeting the seasonal data suggests a typical pattern where stocks tend to rally leading into the Fed’s second meeting day but often decline afterward. The S&P 500 has experienced losses during this specific…
The British pound is under pressure as traders brace for potential rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE). Historically, rate cuts have led to a significant decline in GBP The seasonal data supports this trend, showing an annualized return…
The Federal Reserve is on the brink of initiating a rate-cutting cycle, with short-term interest rate (STIR) markets pricing in four full rate cuts by year-end. For this to unfold, one of the remaining three Fed meetings must deliver a…
Will the S&P500 run up higher into the NFP jobs print on Friday? From a seasonal perspective this is the pattern. Using Seasonax’s risk event feature we can see the following. The strategy shows a strong +48.89% annualized return with…
The seasonal chart for the EURUSD is painting a picture of EURUSD downside ahead, with some outsized falls seasonally recorded in the pair. Over the last 24 years the pair has had falls over 3% three times. The largest fall…
