Giles Coghlan

Giles Coghlan

As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
  • Articles: 583
will the "sell usd" trend continue as euro strengthens seasonality

Will the “Sell USD” Narrative Keep Growing?

The seasonal pattern for EUR/USD from May 29 to June 6 favors euro strength, with a 78.57% win rate and +1.14% average return. This year, the “Sell USD” narrative may gain traction as Moody’s downgrade and China’s reduced Treasury exposure highlight US fiscal concerns. The pair nears key resistance levels that could trigger another leg higher. However, risks remain if the Fed turns hawkish or economic data surprises. The seasonal setup offers timely insight into current macro trends.

GM stock rise in May

GM: Will Political Risk Undermine a Seasonal Surge?

General Motors exhibits one of the most consistent bullish seasonal patterns among U.S. auto stocks between May 26 and June 8. Over the past 10 years, GM has posted gains in 8 out of 10 years during this period, with an average return of +6.28%. As the EV tariff debate heats up, GM’s short-term performance aligns with seasonal strength. Its EV strategy faces risk from shifting U.S. policies, making this both an opportunity and a potential inflection point.

technical support and seasonal trends align for home depot

Home Depot’s Post-Earnings Lift: Seasonal Tailwind Meets Support on the Charts

Home Depot tends to rally in late May, with an 86.67% win rate and an average gain of +1.30% over the past 15 years. This year, seasonal strength is reinforced by potential U.S.–China trade relief and a technical support zone near $353. With earnings on May 20, a bounce could be in play, though risks remain. Strategic investors should watch for confirmation from both fundamentals and the charts.

seasonal eur/usd bullish setup

EUR/USD: Strong Seasonal Window Aligns With Bullish Bias

EUR/USD tends to show reliable strength from May 23 to June 7. Over the past 10 years, the pair has posted positive returns in 8 of them, averaging a gain of +1.00%. With macro tailwinds and recent price action consolidating near 1.1200, bulls may be eyeing a breakout. Technically, the 1.130 level is within reach if support at 1.1150 holds. However, traders should remain alert to Fed rhetoric and US inflation data that could disrupt the seasonal pattern.

nasdaq 100 momentum end of may

NASDAQ 100: A Surprisingly Strong End to May?

Many investors are familiar with the phrase “Sell in May and go away,” but the Nasdaq 100 often defies that logic. Over the past decade, the tech-heavy index has delivered an average return of +3.40% from May 19 to June 7, with a remarkable 90% win rate. Strong seasonal momentum, driven by optimism in AI and supportive macro factors, continues to offer opportunities. Recent technical indicators also support a bullish setup.

usd/chf seasonal slump align with technical resistance

USD/CHF: Seasonal Slump Aligns With Technical Resistance

USD/CHF tends to underperform from mid-May to early August, with historical data pointing to a seasonal slump. Over the past 25 years, the average move during this period has been -2.06%, with a win rate of only 32%. Currently, traders should watch the 0.8400 level closely, a critical barrier that aligns with a former triple bottom. A rejection here could set up a renewed move lower, especially if macro fundamentals align with the seasonal trend.

JD.com post earnings playbook

JD.com: Seasonal Tailwinds Into Earnings?

JD.com is entering a historically strong seasonal window ahead of its earnings on May 13. Over the past decade, this period has delivered positive returns in 8 out of 10 years, with an average gain of +5.70%. While broader market conditions remain mixed, JD.com's seasonal momentum could offer an opportunity for upside if earnings meet expectations.