Historically, the day before and after the CPI print has seen volatile movements in the pair, with the period around CPI typically exhibiting both upward and downward pressure on the EURUSD over the last 5 years.
Historically, EUR/USD has shown a +20.11% annualized return from October 7 to October 20 over the past 15 years, with an 86.67% win rate during this period. This suggests that despite near-term dollar strength, there may be opportunities for euro buyers.
The EUR/USD is in focus as the market awaits the upcoming Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report and its potential impact on Fed policy. Seasonal data indicates that the EUR/USD has an average annualized return of +3.04% in the 10-day period surrounding U.S.
WTI Crude Oil entered the fourth quarter on a bearish note, sliding lower despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This comes amidst broader market concerns, as OPEC+ is expected to increase output while China’s economic slowdown looms.
China’s recent economic stimulus measures have created optimism in the market, providing a potential tailwind for the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), which is now entering a historically strong period. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) offers diversified exposure to the largest Chinese companies across sectors like financials, technology, and energy.
Following the recent dovish Federal Reserve meeting, where the Fed confirmed a 50bps rate cut and reduced the dot plot projections, the EUR/USD has maintained a strong buy bias. The Fed's outlook, which suggests continued dollar weakness, has been further reinforced.
China's housing market has been a significant drag on the economy for the past few years, with the country battling to revive a sluggish property sector. Recent reports suggest that China is weighing the removal of major home buying restrictions.
The stock jumped 7.3% in anticipation of a strategic reset aimed at revitalizing the brand. Alongside this leadership change, seasonal data for Nike points to a historically strong period between September 23 and December 22.
Crude oil prices are facing significant pressure this quarter, driven by China’s economic slowdown and signs of ample supply. WTI crude oil has experienced a notable seasonal downtrend during the period from September 17 to November 30.
As we approach the next Federal Reserve meeting the seasonal data suggests a typical pattern where stocks tend to rally leading into the Fed’s second meeting day but often decline afterward. The S&P 500 has experienced losses during this specific…
