
Semiconductors vs. S&P 500: Who Wins Seasonally?
The PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 177.73% within a year. But what comes next seasonally? The data tells a clear story: the coming months could be challenging.

The PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 177.73% within a year. But what comes next seasonally? The data tells a clear story: the coming months could be challenging.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup isn't just a football event. It's a seasonal trading opportunity. We analyzed the stock patterns of the biggest sponsors, Adidas, Coca-Cola and Visa, to show who benefits and when.

The next phase of AI is being built in data centers, chip manufacturing and power grids. Q2 seasonal patterns across Nvidia, Broadcom and NextEra Energy suggest this infrastructure buildout has historical tailwinds behind it.
Brewery stocks show clear strength in the spring, driven by better weather and rising demand. Major players like Anheuser-Busch InBev, Heineken, and Carlsberg often perform well from late March into early summer. However, this momentum often weakens in the second half of the year.

Seasonal patterns rarely exist in isolation. When viewed alongside other instruments or timeframes, differences in strength, timing, and consistency begin to stand out. This broader perspective helps reveal how individual patterns behave within the wider market environment – often reshaping how they should be interpreted.

The Artemis program is entering a new phase, increasing investor focus on aerospace and defense stocks. Airbus, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman play key roles across critical mission technologies. Historical seasonality highlights recurring strength windows in these companies. Investors can use these patterns to refine timing and positioning.

Broadcom exhibits strong seasonal performance: From the beginning of November to mid-December, the stock has risen by an average of 17% over the past ten years, with a success rate of 90%. This period marks the strongest seasonal increase of the year.

Amazon is entering one of its strongest historical trading windows just as investor attention turns to its upcoming earnings and the health of AWS. From October to November, Amazon shares have gained with an 80% win rate. Yet, concerns about cloud competition, AWS reliability, and market positioning add complexity to this otherwise bullish seasonal setup.

Healthcare costs continue to rise steadily, posing serious challenges to global affordability and access for many. UnitedHealth Group shows a strong long-term trend and remarkable seasonal gains from October, despite recent market turbulence and corrections, highlighting potential opportunities.

Why do top traders often rely on just 10 years of data to spot seasonal trends? Dimitri Speck explains why this timeframe is often enough to reveal actionable patterns, how timing can matter more than sheer history, and why even a single outlier year rarely undermines the overall trend, making it a practical choice for reliable trading decisions.

Microsoft’s record-breaking $4 trillion valuation highlights its AI strength, but history suggests mid-September often brings weakness for the stock. Seasonality shows Microsoft has a decline between September and October, raising caution for investors as technicals hint at overextension.