Will Persimmon Homes Benefit from a Seasonal Upswing?
With mortgage rates stabilizing and demand returning, Persimmon Plc's forward order book has risen 27% year-on-year. As the housing market recovers, will the stock follow its seasonal trend?
Giles Coghlan
As a professional market analyst and commentator, Giles' goal is simple: to explain the current reason markets are moving the way they are so you that can make better trading decisions right now. His cutting-edge analysis has been featured in Reuters, Business Insider, WSJ, Financial Times Adviser, NBC, LBC Radio, CoinTelegraph, Guardian Observer, National Express, and numerous other prestigious financial outlets.
Will the Fed Meeting Provide a Lifeline for USD/JPY?
The upcoming Fed meeting could weigh on USD/JPY, with historical data showing a bearish bias post-FOMC decisions. An average decline of -0.07% and a 48.75% win rate suggest downside risks, especially if the Fed signals more rate cuts. A dovish stance may push USD/JPY lower, while a hawkish surprise could provide support. Key technical levels, like the 147.50 support zone, will be crucial for traders.
Room for a return to Apple Upside?
Apple is set for a major software overhaul, unifying iOS, iPadOS, and macOS with a fresh design inspired by Vision Pro. Historically, AAPL has shown strong seasonal performance during this period, with shares averaging a +6.86% gain from March to May. This update comes as Apple looks to drive renewed demand and strengthen its ecosystem.
The Deal That You Didn’t Know Could Happen: Oil’s Seasonal Tailwind Amid Grand Bargain Speculation
Oil markets may be on the verge of a major geopolitical shift as speculation grows over a potential US-Saudi-Russia deal. Meanwhile, crude oil's seasonal pattern points to a historically strong period from March to July, with an average gain of +4.84%. Will this alignment of market forces drive oil prices higher?
Shell’s Executive Shake-Up and Seasonal Strength – A Buying Opportunity?
Shell PLC is undergoing a major executive reshuffle just ahead of its March 25 strategy update, a move that could influence investor sentiment. Historically, Shell’s stock has gained an average of +7.91% from mid-March to early June, supported by seasonal oil demand and corporate developments. If the upcoming strategy presentation is well-received, it may act as a catalyst for the stock to follow its strong seasonal trend.
Room for More EUR/USD Upside?
EUR/USD has a strong seasonal track record from March 10 to March 17, with gains 75% of the time with an annualized return of +32.26%. Yield spreads and fiscal policies could further support the euro’s strength, while technical signals point to a potential breakout. However, key risks such as US inflation data and Fed policy shifts could introduce volatility.
Will the S&P 500 Rally Post-NFP in Line with History?
Historically, the S&P 500 has shown an upside bias after Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) releases, with an average return of +0.17% in the following 10 days. With Fed Chair Powell’s cautious stance on rate cuts, this NFP report could be pivotal for market trends.
BASF SE: Can Cost-Cutting and Strategic Restructuring Fuel Seasonal Upside?
BASF SE is implementing cost-cutting measures and restructuring initiatives, including a potential IPO for its Agricultural Solutions unit. Historically, the stock shows seasonal strength from March to June, with an average gain of +6.73%.
Aston Martin’s Struggles to Continue? A Seasonal Perspective
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Plc is undergoing yet another restructuring, but historical seasonal trends suggest a challenging period ahead. Over the past six years, the stock has shown a consistent decline between March and mid-May, averaging -26.45%.
Will Walmart’s Seasonal Strength Offset Profit Worries?
Walmart faces profit concerns, but historical data suggests strong seasonal performance from March to April. Despite macroeconomic headwinds and rising costs, the stock has shown a consistent upward trend during this period.