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This week’s US labour report will be in key focus as investors seek to evaluate the Fed’s communication on rates. The Fed have signaled two rate cuts to come this year, and that has been supporting the USD higher over the last few weeks. So, on Friday November 01 a surprise in the jobs report could move the USD significantly.
The seasonal data for McDonald’s Corporation suggests a favorable trading opportunity. Over the last 20 years, the stock has shown a robust annualized return of 52.69% during the period from late October to mid-December.
Apple's iPhone 16 has seen a strong start in China, with sales up 20% in the first three weeks compared to the previous year’s iPhone 15, according to Counterpoint Research. This marks a positive signal for Apple!
Boeing’s third-quarter report brought disappointing news, with significant losses across its commercial aircraft and defense divisions. Combined, these units reported a $6.4 billion operating loss, pushing the company to announce workforce reductions and potential delays in production.
Rio Tinto recently announced its $6.7 billion acquisition of Arcadium Lithium Plc, positioning itself firmly in the lithium market—a vital mineral for electric vehicle (EV) batteries. This move is significant, considering China's dominance in lithium production and refining, which accounts for 65% of the global refined lithium output.
Activist investor Starboard Value has taken a $1 billion stake in Pfizer, seeking to turn around the company's fortunes. They've approached former Pfizer executives to aid their efforts, hinting at potential strategic changes.
Historically, the day before and after the CPI print has seen volatile movements in the pair, with the period around CPI typically exhibiting both upward and downward pressure on the EURUSD over the last 5 years.
Historically, EUR/USD has shown a +20.11% annualized return from October 7 to October 20 over the past 15 years, with an 86.67% win rate during this period. This suggests that despite near-term dollar strength, there may be opportunities for euro buyers.
The EUR/USD is in focus as the market awaits the upcoming Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report and its potential impact on Fed policy. Seasonal data indicates that the EUR/USD has an average annualized return of +3.04% in the 10-day period surrounding U.S.
WTI Crude Oil entered the fourth quarter on a bearish note, sliding lower despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This comes amidst broader market concerns, as OPEC+ is expected to increase output while China’s economic slowdown looms.
