Article in German On 24 July 2020 the Olympic Summer Games will begin in Tokyo, the capital of Japan. In addition to the Olympics, Soccer World Cups are among the largest sporting events in the world. Are you also among…
Article in German Within nine months, yields on the 10-year treasury note have declined from 3.2% to 1.8%, once again approaching their all time lows. The situation is even more extreme in other developed countries. On Friday 02 August 2019,…
Article in German Global stock market returns during summer vs. winter periods Almost the entire return was generated in the winter months. The division into two time periods of equal length is merely a matter of convention though. Greater precision…
Article in German You can probably imagine that I am convinced of the merits of seasonality. However, even I was surprised that an investment strategy based on seasonality is apparently leaving numerous far more popular strategies in the dust. And…
Article in German In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I discussed the typical pattern of stock prices when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. As one would expect, the stock market tends to stabilize after cuts in the federal…
Article in German “This is the greatest economy in the history of our country”, Donald Trump opined just a few months ago. Alas, recently there is growing evidence of an economic slowdown. This has fueled speculation of imminent rate cuts…
In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I have discussed Bitcoin’s seasonal pattern in the course of a year. In this issue I will show an analysis of the returns of bitcoin on individual days of the week. It seems…
When I heard about Bitcoin for the very first time in May of 2011, it traded at eight US dollars. As I write this, almost exactly eight years later on May 21 2019, it is trading at about USD 7,950.…
Here is how easily you can save money when purchasing a home, or earn additional money when selling one! The first chart below shows the seasonal pattern in US home prices, i.e., the average trend based on the price performance…
Article in German Does this rule actually work? To find out whether it does, we have reviewed the stock market’s performance during the summer period from May to October and compared it to the performance during the winter period from…
