Article in German As a shareholder you are probably asking yourself every quarter how the earnings of companies in your portfolio will turn out. Whether they will beat analyst expectations often seems akin to a lottery. However, what is not…
Article in German In order to beat the market, you are probably – like many investors – spending a lot of time searching for rare undiscovered gems or sophisticated trading rules. There is actually a simpler way. I want to…
Article in German In the Seasonal Insights issue of 13 February 2019 I presented a study illustrating the power of intraweek effects. The article was entitled “S&P 500 Index: A Single Day Beats the Entire Week!” The result of the…
Seasonality helps with stock selection Everybody has probably heard about the end-of-year rally phenomenon by now. It affects the majority of stocks during the same time period, namely in the final weeks of the year. However, many people are unaware…
Tuesday is a particularly strong trading day, Friday a weak one The chart below shows the annualized performance of the S&P 500 Index since the turn of the century in black, as well as the cumulative annualized return generated on…
Having a glimpse at our previous articles, you might have noticed that seasonal market trends are not unique to a handful of companies, but are a widespread phenomenon that many markets accommodate, often unknowingly. Trading on a stock that exhibits…
Article in German Every year a certain stock market phenomenon is said to recur, anticipated with excitement by investors: the so-called Santa Claus rally. It is held that stock prices typically rise quite frequently and particularly strongly just before the…
The US faces uncertain economic times, as Trump and Xi Jinping are still locked in a bitter trade dispute that is likely to go on for some time, creating uncertainty for the future of trade between the world’s two biggest…
Prices in financial and commodity markets exhibit seasonal trends. We have for example shown you how stocks of pharmaceutical companies tend to rise in summer due to higher demand, or the end-of-year rally phenomenon (last issue), which can be observed…
Today marks the last day of October, the month that has investors in fear of the next big stock market crash (see Seasonal Insights Issue 20). This also means that today is Halloween and while there is something particularly spooky…
