The Weakest Month has Begun!
At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle.
But there is an even weaker month: September.
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Will the S&P500 run up into Friday’s NFP?
Will the S&P500 run up higher into the NFP jobs print on Friday? From a seasonal perspective this is the pattern. Using Seasonax’s risk event feature we can see the following. The strategy shows a strong +48.89% annualized return with…
Bailey to buckle the FTSE 100’s recent run?
The weakest month of the year for the FTSE 100 is September. From 1 September - 30 September, over the last 25 years the pattern shows a significant negative annualized return of -19.8%. Despite the negative trend, there is still a 48% win rate, indicating nearly half of the September months recorded gains.
Nvidia: misplaced enthusiasm?
As we approach Nvidia Corp.'s highly anticipated earnings report (Wednesday Aug 28), market watchers are bracing for another standout performance. The consensus among analysts points to a significant beat, with expectations running so high that it is thought Nvidia may raise its profit outlook.
Is the EURUSD heading for a retracement after it’s recent run higher?
The seasonal chart for the EURUSD is painting a picture of EURUSD downside ahead, with some outsized falls seasonally recorded in the pair. Over the last 24 years the pair has had falls over 3% three times. The largest fall…
Is gold’s run coming to an end in September?
The seasonal chart for gold, covering a 15-year period from August 2009 to August 2024, highlights a notable pattern of weakness in gold from early September to early October. This period historically correlates with a downturn, with a marked annualised return of -30.42% during this window.
Tencent Rides the Wave of Black Myth: Wukong. More Success Ahead Amid a Bullish Seasonal Window?
Tencent is riding high following the blockbuster release of Black Myth: Wukong, a game that has taken the global gaming community by storm. As investor enthusiasm grows, Tencent is also entering one of its strongest seasonal periods.
The Next Big Move: September FED Meeting
Article in German Dear Investor, The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, on 17-18 September 2024, is a hotly anticipated date in the financial world. Many experts anticipate the Fed will hold rates steady at 5.25%-5.50%, waiting for inflation…
Remember the ‘first day of the month effect’
The "first day of the month" effect in the S&P 500 refers to the observed tendency for stock returns to be higher on the first trading day of the month compared to other days. This phenomenon has been seen in various financial markets and is of particular interest to traders.
Will Seasonal Weakness Overshadow Taiwan Semiconductor’s Strong July Performance?
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is coming off a stellar performance in July, with revenue surging by 45%, reaching NT$256.95 billion ($7.9 billion). This impressive growth, driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence chips, especially from major clients like Nvidia Corp.