Stocks rise around the U.S. midterms: From five days before to two days after the election, the S&P 500 has risen in 22 out of 23 cases since 1934. View the charts and learn how to test this pattern yourself using Seasonax’s Event feature.
By default, the Seasonax Screener sorts its results by rank, not by return. Find out which three metrics are behind this and why it increases your success rate.
L'or suit le même cycle quadriennal que les actions. Depuis 1968, les années d'élections de mi-mandat, comme 2026, affichent de loin les meilleures performances en moyenne, le rebond s'amorçant généralement dès le mois de juillet et la situation cyclique s'améliorant sensiblement.
Gold follows the same 4-year cycle as stocks. Since 1968, midterm years like 2026 have delivered their best average return by far, reaching 11.09% on average, with the rally typically taking hold from July onward.
The PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 177.73% within a year. But what comes next seasonally? The data tells a clear story: the coming months could be challenging.
Choosing the right stock starts with choosing the right sector. With Seasonax, you can now screen S&P 500 sector indices and instantly see which ones are seasonally most promising. Then, you can screen the best stocks within that sector. Two steps, a few seconds, a selection based on real seasonal data. Here's how it works.
Seasonal patterns rarely exist in isolation. When viewed alongside other instruments or timeframes, differences in strength, timing, and consistency begin to stand out. This broader perspective helps reveal how individual patterns behave within the wider market environment – often reshaping how they should be interpreted.
Periods that are historically difficult for stocks can reveal different dynamics in gold. By examining long-term seasonality and the four-year cycle, gold’s performance is placed into a broader market context that helps frame market behavior over time.
The year 2026 is a so-called midterm election year in the US four-year election cycle. Historically, it is the weakest period for the stock market, with below-average returns for the Dow Jones. Nevertheless, even in such years, targeted opportunities arise outside the overall market.
Broadcom exhibits strong seasonal performance: From the beginning of November to mid-December, the stock has risen by an average of 17% over the past ten years, with a success rate of 90%. This period marks the strongest seasonal increase of the year.
