WTI Crude Oil demonstrates a compelling seasonal pattern between December and early March, historically yielding an annualised return of +39.26% over the last 25 years. The average gain of +7.85% during this period, coupled with a 72% win rate, highlights the winter season as a favourable window for oil price appreciation.
There are mixed driver’s for oil right now. Middle East tensions mean the risk of contagion on the region could impede global oil supply. An Iranian involvement in the Gaza/Israel conflict could send oil sharply higher.
Oil markets have been pushed and pulled around in recent days and weeks on the worries about supply with the Israel Hamas conflict and most recently on concerns regarding the collaboration of production levels within the OPEC+ group. The latest concern is Nigeria and Angola, having to accept a new baseline that reflects their actual production capabilities.
The geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has been providing a boost for oil prices on speculative flows. The risk of a wider conflict could threaten the oil supply to the world and that has been the reason for sudden buyers to step into the oil market pushing prices higher.
Crude oil moved higher on Tuesday this week after Saudi Arabia and Russia both opted to extend their voluntary production cuts. Saudi extended its 1 million barrels per day cut for three months to include October until year end, which…
At the latest OPEC+ meeting Saudi Energy Minister said OPEC+ will do "whatever is necessary" to support the oil market. Since the start of the year many analysts were optimistic about oil prices. China’s post Covid-19 recovery was ...
There are a few reasons cited for oil markets to gain over the medium term. Russia’s oil ban from the EU comes into place on February 05 and China’s recent PMI prints showed a surprise expansionary print indicating strength in China’s…
Chevron is a US energy integrated company with exploration and refining operations across the globe. It is the second largest US largest oil producer behind ExxonMobil. Now, oil markets have been relatively subdued over recent months which has been helping with…
US oil has some mixed drivers right now. The OPEC+ production cuts had been providing some support for oil alongside a weaker USD. Furthermore, the announcement of a 16 point property support plan for China could prop up more expectations…
Last week President Biden announced a plan to buy 60mln barrels of crude oil as the first step in a years long process aimed at replenishing America’s shrinking emergency oil reserves. This immediately sent crude prices higher. This is meant…
