You may be surprised to learn that platinum, despite facing a structural deficit in 2025, historically underperforms during late spring to early summer. From April 29 to June 24, the metal has dropped over the past 15 years, with a low win rate of just 20%. This weakness often stems from cyclical industrial slowdowns and seasonal investor flows. Even with declining supply and tight above-ground stocks, the pattern remains firmly intact.
Platinum is sitting at a very key support level, just as the seasonal pattern looks promising. The two strongest months of the year for Platinum are in January and February. From January 30th through to February 18 there is an average return of 2.55% for Platinum and a 75% winning trade percentage.
Platinum has a very strong seasonal pattern to start the year. Over the last 25 years prices have gained over 75% of the time for an average return of 6.02%. The maximum drop in a positive year has been -7.38%, so the technicals look attractive for dip buying platinum if we see a pull back in early January.
Platinum tends to see gains around the start of the year as Industrial purchases are made for the year from 2022. Yes, global growth concerns have been growing, but many company orders for 2023 would have already been made and…
There are few stunning seasonals as good as Platinum’s. The commodity is in hot demand at the start of the year as purchase managers make their purchases for industrial usage at the start of the year. This buying activity tends…
The reasons for USD strength have been well documented this year as the Fed took a hawkish policy stance to control surging US inflation, and safe haven bids also boosted the USD. However, recently there has been a big rise…
Article in German Dear Investor, Silver is seasonally cheap in mid December First I will show you the seasonal chart of silver. The chart shows the average moves in silver prices in the course of a calendar year over the…
Lieber Investor, Sie sind wahrscheinlich noch in vorweihnachtliche Stimmung, vielleicht verspüren Sie sogar etwas Stress. Bald jedoch kommt der Jahreswechsel. Der gibt Ihnen Anlass, das Jahr Revue passieren zu lassen und das neue zu planen. Das tun viele Menschen –…
In past issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed the very odd behavior of a variety of instruments in the course of a week: in issue 17 the topic was the S&P 500 Index, and in issue 18 the no…
