Dear Investor, Many market participants believe simple phenomena in the stock market are purely random events and cannot recur consistently. Indeed, there is probably no stock market rule that will remain valid forever. However, there continue to be stock market…
Dear Investor, The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Although the month of October delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms if one disregards outliers…
Dear Investor, In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I have shown that the gold price behaves quite peculiarly in the course of the trading week. On average, prices rise almost exclusively on Friday. It is as though investors in…
In past issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed the very odd behavior of a variety of instruments in the course of a week: in issue 17 the topic was the S&P 500 Index, and in issue 18 the no…
Article in German Dear Investor, An Old Seasonal Truism Most people are probably aware of the saying “sell in May and go away”. This popular seasonal Wall Street truism implies that the market’s performance is far worse in the six…
Dear Investor, The months of September and October are widely known to represent a seasonally particularly weak time of the year. Indeed, at no other time of the year is the S&P 500 Index falling as quickly as in the…
Dear Investor, At the beginning of November this year, the US presidential elections will take place, just as they do every four years. During election years, investors often become excited about the results, hoping for a victory for the candidate…
