Babcock International has outpaced every other FTSE 100 stock this year, with shares surging over 130%. Now entering a historically strong period, the defence giant could climb even further. With a win rate of 66.67% between June and August, both seasonal and technical indicators suggest more upside ahead.
The Nasdaq 100 historically enters a powerful bullish window with a 93.33% win rate over the past 15 years and an average gain of 3.86%. This setup has proven highly consistent. Fueled by strong Q2 earnings and lower summer volume, this period offers a high-probability opportunity for traders. If the pattern holds, we could see another clean move higher before August volatility sets in.
Silver tends to perform strongly during the summer, and the historical data backs it up. From June 30 to September 1, silver (XAG/USD) has shown a consistent seasonal pattern of strength over the past 15 years, with a strong risk/reward profile. This seasonal trend, combined with a bullish technical setup, suggests potential upside toward $37–$38 if momentum holds.
Amgen shows a historically strong seasonal pattern from June 30 to September 1, with a win rate of 76% over the past 25 years. The biotech giant is also advancing in the anti-obesity space, with its MariTide treatment in late-stage trials. Investors may see added upside potential as healthcare stocks gain favor in uncertain economic times.
Did you know the S&P 500 has never lost between June 27 and July 23 over the past 14 years? With an average gain of 3.31% and a Sharpe ratio of 4.45, this seasonal stretch stands out as one of the most reliable in the US equity market. As earnings season heats up, mega-cap tech stocks often act as a catalyst for midsummer momentum.
Crude oil markets enter a historically strong window from June 24 to July 1, with WTI posting an average gain of 2.09% and an 80% win rate over the past 15 years. This year, seasonal momentum aligns with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Strikes between Israel and Iran are increasing supply fears, especially around the vulnerable Strait of Hormuz. Traders are bracing for volatility and potential price spikes.
While summer is often a quiet period for equity markets, Procter & Gamble has consistently bucked the trend. With a 90% win rate and an annualized return of +26.61% from June 18 to September 15, PG is one of the most reliable seasonal performers. Backed by strong risk-adjusted returns and defensive appeal, PG often thrives when market volatility subsides.
From mid-June to early October, soybeans have posted losses in 11 of the past 14 years, averaging a -4.87% decline. With a win rate of just 21.43%, it’s one of the weakest seasonal periods. In 2025, trade tensions and weak Chinese demand could intensify this trend. Without a shift in trade dynamics, further downside is likely.
Tyler Technologies has delivered consistent summer gains, boasting a 90% win rate and an average return of 10.24% from mid-June to early September. Backed by strong SaaS momentum and recurring public sector contracts, TYL offers a mix of reliability and seasonal strength for tech-focused investors.
USD/JPY has delivered negative summer returns in 18 of the past 25 years, averaging a –6.32% drop. This recurring seasonal weakness aligns with rising macroeconomic pressures, including Japanese investor repatriation and changing central bank dynamics. Technical indicators also point to potential downside, making this summer a critical period for traders watching the yen’s next move.
