Over the last few days, markets have been confronted by a confused message. On the one hand, the Feds recent messaging has become more dovish indicating that the recent surge in yields could mean the federal reserve doesn’t need to hike in November. However, on the other hand, the PPI print on Wednesday surprised significantly to the upside indicating the Fed had more work to do.
The latest CFTC report shows that traders are stretched to the long side on the USD. When you can see stretched positioning it means that there is a vulnerability for a sharp correction if there is any reasons for USD selling.
US CPI is expected to pull back to 3.6% from August’s print of 3.7% and the core is expected to fall for the sixth month in a row down to 4.1% from the prior reading of 4.3%. This should keep yields and the USD mildly pressured.
The recent run of bad news from China looks like it may have run its course with analysts' hopes rising that the worst may be behind China. Hopes for a more positive Q4 are starting to build with strong levels of fiscal support and the latest PMI prints out of China show moves into expansionary prints above 50.
Taking a look at the US Labour report there is a chance that gold can recover it’s recent losses if we see a big miss in the report. Remember that the Fed sees the labour market through an inflationary or…
A hawkish Federal Reserve and expectations of increasing interest rates have kept major stocks pressured over the month of September. The higher rates for longer narrative from the latest Fed meeting has helped push up yields and US interest rate expectations which is naturally more challenging conditions for US companies.
The Kroger Company, or simply Kroger, is an American retail company that operates supermarkets and multi-department stores throughout the US. It is a Consumer Staple sector and that sector can find buyers when traders are expecting a recession. The rationale…
NextEra is a large American energy company with revenues exceeding $18 billion in 2020. If the US is heading towards a recession then typically utility companies, like NextEra energy should find buyers. This is because even when consumers spending power…
There’s been a huge amount of flows into the tech sector this year, according to Deutsche Bank AG who see over $40 billion in cumulative global flows. However, with the Fed signalling higher rates for longer in last weeks meeting…
The Federal reserve took a more hawkish tone in their latest rate meeting revising up the dot plot seeing higher interest rates in 2024 and beyond. The NASDAQ is typically sensitive to US rate increases, and this provides a natural…
