Article in German Dear Investor, We first discussed the “turn-of-the-month effect” in Seasonal Insights issue 6 of March 21, 2018. The term describes the fact that price gains in the stock market tend to cluster around the turn of the…
Lieber Investor, um den Markt zu schlagen, verbringen Sie vermutlich wie die meisten Investoren viel Zeit auf der Suche nach Perlen oder nach ausgefeilten Handelsregeln. Oft geht einfacher. Ich will Ihnen zeigen, wie Sie über die vergangenen fast 50 Jahre…
Article in German Dear Investor, As I have shown in previous issues of Seasonal Insights, various financial instruments are demonstrating peculiar behavior in the course of the week: the S&P 500 Index is typically strong on Tuesdays, Gold on Fridays…
Dear Investor, In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I have shown that the gold price behaves quite peculiarly in the course of the trading week. On average, prices rise almost exclusively on Friday. It is as though investors in…
Dear Investor, You are undoubtedly aware of one or another stock market anomaly, such as e.g. the frequent weakness in stock markets in the summer months, which the well-known saying “sell in May and go away” refers to. Apart from…
Dear Investor, The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Although the month of October delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms if one disregards outliers…
Dear Investor, Many market participants believe simple phenomena in the stock market are purely random events and cannot recur consistently. Indeed, there is probably no stock market rule that will remain valid forever. However, there continue to be stock market…
Dear Investor, Seasonax Event Studies As our readers are aware by now, investment decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. After all, market anomalies that have occurred regularly in the past often tend to occur in the future…
Dear Investor, In the past two issues of Seasonal Insights I have shown that many individual stocks display unique seasonal patterns. There is a variety of reasons for this phenomenon. Often internal procedures are responsible, which can e.g. lead to…
Dear Investor, Although the month of October without outliers like the crashes of 1987 and 2008 delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms, these particularly strong declines in such short time periods are nevertheless scary: what use is it to…
