The Dangerous Season Begins Now
Dear Investor, You are surely aware of the saying “sell in May and go away”. It is one of the best-known and oldest stock market truisms. And the saying is justified. In my article “Sell in May and Go Away…
Seasonal Insights
Stay ahead of the markets with our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights newsletter. Delivered in both English and German, it provides expert analysis and actionable insights into seasonal market patterns. Curated by a dedicated editorial team led by renowned seasonal analyst Dimitri Speck, each issue offers timely trends, practical guidance, and unique perspectives to support your investment decisions.
Will Patterns that Worked in the Past Also Work in the Future?
Dear Investor, Every investor makes trading decisions based on what happened in the past – there is no other way. What interests us is the future though. After all, what happens in the future ultimately determines investment success. But will…
Is Historically Low Volatility About to Expand?
Dear Investor, You have probably noticed it already: stock market volatility has recently all but disappeared. This raises an important question for every investor: Has the market established a permanent plateau of low volatility, or is the current period of…
S&P 500 Index: A Single Day Beats the Entire Week!
Dear Investor, Many market participants believe simple phenomena in the stock market are purely random events and cannot recur consistently. Indeed, there is probably no stock market rule that will remain valid forever. However, there continue to be stock market…
The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend to Happen in October!
Dear Investor, The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect. Although the month of October delivers an acceptable performance in seasonal terms if one disregards outliers…
How Big Is the Threat of a Crash in the 7th Year of the Decade?
Dear Investor, Years ending in 7, such as the current year 2017, have a bad reputation among many stock market participants. Large price declines tend to occur quite frequently in these years. Just think of 1987, the year in which…
Seasonal Analysis of the Bloomberg Commodity Index
Dear Investor, We are proud of the fact that Seasonax made the cut into Bloomberg Global Macro Overview Q4 2017! Enjoy reading: ”The Quaterly Q4/2017“ Written by Oliver Woolf, CAIA, CMT, FRM, technical analysis specialist at Bloomberg LP. The chart…
Is a Rapid Advance in the Japanese Stock Market Imminent?
Dear Investor, The Japanese stock market is quite unique: it would need to rally by approximately 80% to reach its former historical peak. What’s more, said peak was attained on the final trading day of 1989, more than 25 years…
The Strange Behavior of Gold Investors from Monday to Thursday
Dear Investor, You are undoubtedly aware of one or another stock market anomaly, such as e.g. the frequent weakness in stock markets in the summer months, which the well-known saying “sell in May and go away” refers to. Apart from…
The Precious Metals Bears’ Fear of Fridays
Dear Investor, In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I have shown that the gold price behaves quite peculiarly in the course of the trading week. On average, prices rise almost exclusively on Friday. It is as though investors in…