Trading Ideas

Following the recent dovish Federal Reserve meeting, where the Fed confirmed a 50bps rate cut and reduced the dot plot projections, the EUR/USD has maintained a strong buy bias. The Fed's outlook, which suggests continued dollar weakness, has been further reinforced.

China's housing market has been a significant drag on the economy for the past few years, with the country battling to revive a sluggish property sector. Recent reports suggest that China is weighing the removal of major home buying restrictions.

The stock jumped 7.3% in anticipation of a strategic reset aimed at revitalizing the brand. Alongside this leadership change, seasonal data for Nike points to a historically strong period between September 23 and December 22.

Crude oil prices are facing significant pressure this quarter, driven by China’s economic slowdown and signs of ample supply. WTI crude oil has experienced a notable seasonal downtrend during the period from September 17 to November 30.

As we approach the next Federal Reserve meeting the seasonal data suggests a typical pattern where stocks tend to rally leading into the Fed’s second meeting day but often decline afterward. The S&P 500 has experienced losses during this specific…

The British pound is under pressure as traders brace for potential rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE). Historically, rate cuts have led to a significant decline in GBP The seasonal data supports this trend, showing an annualized return…

The Federal Reserve is on the brink of initiating a rate-cutting cycle, with short-term interest rate (STIR) markets pricing in four full rate cuts by year-end. For this to unfold, one of the remaining three Fed meetings must deliver a…

Currency strategists are increasingly bullish on the Japanese yen following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate hike in July and the Federal Reserve's signal of upcoming rate cuts. Previously, many experts expected the yen to weaken further after a significant decline in the first half of the year.

The S&P 500 tends to underperform in September, showing negative returns and higher risk metrics. It tends to be a weak month for returns and over the last 10 years it has been the weakest month. The selected pattern (1st September to 30th September) shows a significant negative annualized return of -23.24%.In contrast

Will the S&P500 run up higher into the NFP jobs print on Friday? From a seasonal perspective this is the pattern. Using Seasonax’s risk event feature we can see the following. The strategy shows a strong +48.89% annualized return with…