Trading Ideas

Looking to trade with more confidence? Giles Coghlan shares expert analysis to help you spot opportunities and navigate risks in equities, forex, and commodities.

His clear, actionable outlooks are trusted by traders worldwide and featured in Reuters, WSJ, Business Insider, FT Adviser, NBC, and more.

Stay ahead with insights that cut through the noise – from one of the industry’s most respected analysts.

EV Market Expansion Fuels BYD’s Seasonal Strength

BYD’s Seasonal Strength: A Potential Rally Ahead?

BYD has entered a historically strong period, with a 70% win rate from late March to mid-April. The company’s global EV expansion and increasing investor confidence continue to drive momentum. Seasonal trends suggest this could be a key time for BYD’s stock, especially as it strengthens its position in emerging markets. With geopolitical shifts and growing EV demand, this season could prove pivotal for the stock’s performance.

Will USD/JPY Follow Its Post-Fed Bearish Pattern?

Will the Fed Meeting Provide a Lifeline for USD/JPY?

The upcoming Fed meeting could weigh on USD/JPY, with historical data showing a bearish bias post-FOMC decisions. An average decline of -0.07% and a 48.75% win rate suggest downside risks, especially if the Fed signals more rate cuts. A dovish stance may push USD/JPY lower, while a hawkish surprise could provide support. Key technical levels, like the 147.50 support zone, will be crucial for traders.

Apple's Software Update Seasonal Catalyst

Room for a return to Apple Upside?

Apple is set for a major software overhaul, unifying iOS, iPadOS, and macOS with a fresh design inspired by Vision Pro. Historically, AAPL has shown strong seasonal performance during this period, with shares averaging a +6.86% gain from March to May. This update comes as Apple looks to drive renewed demand and strengthen its ecosystem.

Shell’s Strategic Shift & Seasonal Strength: What Investors Need to Know

Shell’s Executive Shake-Up and Seasonal Strength – A Buying Opportunity?

Shell PLC is undergoing a major executive reshuffle just ahead of its March 25 strategy update, a move that could influence investor sentiment. Historically, Shell’s stock has gained an average of +7.91% from mid-March to early June, supported by seasonal oil demand and corporate developments. If the upcoming strategy presentation is well-received, it may act as a catalyst for the stock to follow its strong seasonal trend.

EURUSD Seasonal Trend

Room for More EUR/USD Upside?

EUR/USD has a strong seasonal track record from March 10 to March 17, with gains 75% of the time with an annualized return of +32.26%. Yield spreads and fiscal policies could further support the euro’s strength, while technical signals point to a potential breakout. However, key risks such as US inflation data and Fed policy shifts could introduce volatility.