Stay ahead of the markets by subscribing to our bi-weekly Seasonal Insights. Led by our Co-Founders Dimitri Speck and Tea Muratovic, this free newsletter will keep you up to date on the latest seasonal market trends and topics all year round.
Legend has it that the Halloween Effect originated in the City of London in the late 16th century and has been passed from trader to trader ever since. The stock market performance improves dramatically after October 31st, with the strongest returns seen between November and April.
Elections will take place in the USA on November 5th. In the media you can read a lot about the candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Certainly the political side is very important. But for you, as an investor, it is also important to consider how the markets behave during the elections.
You probably know the saying: “Sell in May and go away!” There is a lot of truth in this classic. Over the last 64 years, an investment in the Dow Jones achieved an average return of 6.60% in the winter half of the year, but only 0.09% in the summer half of the year from May - so practically nothing.
One of the primary implications of a Triple Witching Day is the surge in trading volume and market volatility. Traders and institutional investors scramble to offset, close, or roll over their positions.
At the beginning of August, the stock markets suffered a collapse. In fact, August is a seasonally weak month – since 1970 it has been the second weakest in the annual cycle.
But there is an even weaker month: September.
Article in German Dear Investor, The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, on 17-18 September 2024, is a hotly anticipated date in the financial world. Many experts anticipate the Fed will hold rates steady at 5.25%-5.50%, waiting for inflation…
Last month’s issue was titled "Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?". It explained that volatility mostly increased seasonally in the period from mid-July. It also stated that the "purchase of volatility products" is possibly appropriate.
Article in German Dear Investor, In the tech industry, six American companies have achieved valuations of at least $1 trillion, with five of them surpassing the $2 trillion mark. These giants—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia and the latest $2 trillion…
Article in German Dear Investor, Volatility, the tendency of prices to fluctuate, is not just an academic construct – there are also products such as ETFs based on it. Volatility has recently been quite low by historical standards. Can we…
Der Aktienmarkt macht keine Ferien, aber das Verständnis, wie Saisonalität die Finanzmärkte beeinflusst, kann Ihnen helfen, einige kluge Sommerentscheidungen zu treffen. Tauchen wir ein in die Welt der Sommeraktien ein und entdecken wir, warum bestimmte Aktien in dieser Saison heller strahlen.
