Copper, often seen as a barometer for global economic health, is flashing fresh warning signs. After surging on tariff speculation, prices have reversed sharply, aligning with a historically weak seasonal period from April to June. This seasonal slump is now being compounded by recession fears and collapsing US demand. If macro risks intensify, the downside for copper prices could deepen significantly.
You may be surprised to learn that platinum, despite facing a structural deficit in 2025, historically underperforms during late spring to early summer. From April 29 to June 24, the metal has dropped over the past 15 years, with a low win rate of just 20%. This weakness often stems from cyclical industrial slowdowns and seasonal investor flows. Even with declining supply and tight above-ground stocks, the pattern remains firmly intact.
Copper prices have rallied sharply this year, largely driven by tariff fears. However, history shows a strong seasonal tendency for copper to weaken between mid-April and late June — a period that often delivers negative returns. As traders await final decisions on tariffs and face swelling US inventories, the risks of a correction are rising. Seasonal data, soft Chinese demand, and speculative positioning could all collide to drive prices lower.
Gold has a habit of posting strong short term gains at the beginning of April. Over the past 15 years, it has averaged a +1.92% gain from April 1 to 11 with a 73.33% win rate. With central banks accumulating gold, inflation risks lingering, and global tensions rising, is another rally on the horizon?
Oil markets may be on the verge of a major geopolitical shift as speculation grows over a potential US-Saudi-Russia deal. Meanwhile, crude oil's seasonal pattern points to a historically strong period from March to July, with an average gain of +4.84%. Will this alignment of market forces drive oil prices higher?
Learn why the year within the election cycle matters more to market performance than the election outcome itself. Uncover key trends, including gold's potential rise after a weak start and the Nasdaq's challenging February-March period.
Discover the "Santa Claus Rally," a seasonal phenomenon with a history of boosting stock prices during the holiday season. Learn how it impacts markets like the S&P 500 and DAX, and what factors could influence this year's rally.
Gold has gained 50% in two years, but Newmont Mining has lagged behind. Seasonality shows its strongest phase is from November 27th to April 11th, with an average gain of 24.04%. Could now be the time to catch up?
Around 50% of current gold production flows into jewelry production. This has a considerable influence on the price of gold. The Indian wedding season in autumn, the Christmas season and the Chinese New Year increase the demand for gold for jewelry production, with purchases by jewelers taking place in the run-up to the respective festivities.
Etwa 50 Prozent der laufenden Förderung von Gold fließen in die Schmuckproduktion. Sie hat dadurch einen erheblichen Einfluss auf den Preis. Durch die indische Hochzeitssaison im Herbst, das Weihnachtsgeschäft und das chinesische Neujahrsfest steigt die Nachfrage nach Gold für die Schmuckherstellung.
