Will gold climb out of the Fed meeting?
Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting will also be a meeting where the Fed outline their dot plot on rate projections.
FED
Can a hawkish Fed send gold down to $1900?
On Wednesday the Federal Reserve meet and STIR markets currently see around a 1 in 4 chance that they will hike by 25bps. A key part of the Fed meeting will be their messaging. Will they, like the BoC and…
Procter & Gamble: A good defensive play for the Fed?
Procter & Gamble (P&G) is widely regarded as a defensive stock. Defensive stocks are those that tend to perform relatively well during economic downturns or recessions. These companies typically offer essential products or services that maintain consistent demand even in…
What will the S&P500 do when the Fed hikes?
Going into this Fed interest rate meeting market expectations are that the Fed will hike by 25bps. Short term interest rate markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a 25bps hike to 5.125%. However, the forward guidance is going…
Summer slide for stocks ahead?
The Fed meets on May 03 and there is an increasingly bearish attitude to stocks and the prospects of further gains in stocks are viewed nervously. Despite these bearish projections April has been a strong month for some of the…
Event study: How do key interest rate hikes affect stock prices?
Have you ever wondered how stock or commodity prices will behave when futures contracts expire, and when labor market or inflation numbers are published, or when the Fed meets for its FOMC meeting?
USD softness into year end!
Another really notable trend around this time of the year is USD weakness. This is due to some taxation reasons that regularly sees USD flows out of parent US companies into daughter companies around year end. So, the USD does…
Powells Christmas Gift
There is a big question in markets right now about whether or not the Fed futures rate curve is a fair reflection of what it to come for the US. Are investors too complacent about a retreat from US peak…
Disney magic at Christmas?
There has recently been a string of news for Walt Disney Shares. Walt Disney cruise line is set to return to tropical destinations in the Bahamas, Caribbean, & Mexico in early 2024. Furthermore, Shanghai Disneyland was due to re-open on…
Shimmering silver in Fed’s Blackout Period!
The outlook for the Federal Reserve is mixed. On one hand the US economy could be heading towards a recession next year. The November FOMC minutes stated that it was the ‘base case’. Slowing business activity, the cost of living,…