As 2023 closed out, the financial world buzzed with optimism. The S&P 500 surged over 24%, and the Dow neared historic highs, fueled by easing inflation, a resilient economy, and anticipated lower interest rates. Notably, the market rally wasn't just about big tech names
The turn of the year, 2023 into 2024, is just around the corner. As an investor, you may well be wondering what the new year will be like.
In terms of politics, the US presidential elections are approaching. Although the new - or old - president will not be inaugurated until 2025, elections also influence share prices in their run up. This election cycle is in fact known as the four-year cycle.
Wenn das Ende des Kalenderjahres näher rückt, beginnen unter Investoren und Finanzanalysten Gerüchte über eine Aktienmarktrallye zu kursieren. Doch ist diese sogenannte "Jahresend-Rallye" nur ein Mythos?
As the end of the calendar year approaches, whispers of a stock market rally begin to circulate among investors and financial analysts. But is this so-called "year-end rally" a mere myth?
A hawkish Federal Reserve and expectations of increasing interest rates have kept major stocks pressured over the month of September. The higher rates for longer narrative from the latest Fed meeting has helped push up yields and US interest rate expectations which is naturally more challenging conditions for US companies.
The Federal reserve took a more hawkish tone in their latest rate meeting revising up the dot plot seeing higher interest rates in 2024 and beyond. The NASDAQ is typically sensitive to US rate increases, and this provides a natural…
One of the key features around seasonality is the so-called turn of the month affect. This is when major indices tend to gain around the end of a month and into the first few days of the new month. However…
The Federal Reserve is focusing very intently on the US labour market for signs that their rate hiking cycle is starting to cool demand. The way the market has been translation US economic data over the last few weeks is…
Sie haben es vielleicht mitbekommen: Derzeit ist die implizite Volatilität, wie sie sich aus Optionspreisen am US-Aktienmarkt errechnet, relativ niedrig. Die Bank of America fand kürzlich sogar heraus, dass es seit 2008 nie günstiger war, sich über einen Zwölfmonatszeitraum abzusichern.
Currently, implied volatility, as calculated from option prices on the US stock market, is relatively low. The Bank of America recently found that there has not been a cheaper time to hedge over a twelve-month period since 2008.
This raises these questions for you as an investor: has a phase of permanently low volatility now been reached? Or is the current low volatility merely the calm before the storm?
